It's the highest in commodity grade, and you can get it today. Klawchat.

9571f496dbedba31b508e1ee1a8822ec?d=identicon

jay_B

Brendan Rodgers writeup mentions he struck out "just" 98 times in 110 games. Is that actually a good number or am I just misunderstanding that whole section?

That's actually a good number for a guy his age. Look at strikeout totals across the minors - they're really high now, just as they are in the majors.

27/01/2017 18:00
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

2b67c361ec6394af8058b3cfaacd4cd1?d=identicon

Carl Spackler

How close were guys like Clifton, De La Cruz, Almora and Candelario to your top 100? Would those guys all be in your 100-150ish range?

None was terribly close, although I bet de la Cruz would have made it had he been healthy all season (or just lacked those concerns going forward).

27/01/2017 18:00
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Ebbd90189ec98c5fd9405502f91f4bdf?d=identicon

Oden

Hi Keith-- I was a little surprised that David Paulino wasn't in your top 100. Future reliever for you, or something else keeping him out? Thanks!

Future reliever. Like 90/10 odds. Delivery is out of control for me, can't see starter command or ability to repeat it 100 times a game.

27/01/2017 18:01
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Cfceb6c4d64113e350956fb99414416e?d=identicon

Phillip

Do you have a list of "next ten" that didn't make the top 100? Or at least the guys who you remember having just missed the cut?

That list of ten goes up tomorrow.

27/01/2017 18:01
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

1b83d5da74032b6a750ef12210642eea?d=identicon

Mike

I did not see Reynaldo Lopez on your list. Is this because you think he is 100% a reliever or was he not eligible?

Another one I think is absolutely a reliever. Can't start with that delivery.

27/01/2017 18:01
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

1a9ac1503bf48db276de2f3facff9af2?d=identicon

Danny - Sanctuary City

Are you shocked how bad this first week of know nothing politics went?

Shocked, no. Dismayed, yes.

27/01/2017 18:01
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

54f5b44b64a4cf35ed956f2f6fffb1a8?d=identicon

Alivio

Keith, looks like you let your ego get the best of you once again with that Yoan ranking. Seems he's a shoe in as a top 5 prospect. Why so low on him?

Yes, it's all my ego, not a rational examination of each player's strengths and weaknesses, which I then spelled out at length for everyone to see. It's just me.

27/01/2017 18:02
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Ad41f094bffb0c6385902a9e6d9a9661?d=identicon

Aaron C.

As the father of a 12-year-old ball player, I was encouraged to see so many prospects of African-American descent in your top 100. In your view, is this indicative of any burgeoning reconciliation between black youth and baseball? Is the RBI program bearing fruit? Or, is it just small sample size snapshot? Thanks!

Probably just an upturn in the cycle. I'll feel better about it if and when we get more African-American players in the majors in regular roles that have often been closed off to them, like starting pitchers or catchers.

27/01/2017 18:03
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

3e4362469fc9819686fe54eccc3db90f?d=identicon

J.P.

Curious not to see Luke Weaver anywhere. Thoughts?

Not even close. Two-pitch guy who lacks plane on the fastball.

27/01/2017 18:03
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

B0ff314b3f47765d691d81050fe81a1a?d=identicon

Allan

Mike Soroka must have been close to being included on your top 100, right? What other Braves prospects warranted consideration?

He's the top Atlanta prospect who missed, but I'm not sure I'd say he was close either. Low slot guy with slight frame. Scouts were very mixed on him staying a starter; one scout I talked to who saw Rome's whole rotation put Weigel over Soroka.

27/01/2017 18:04
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

092f2ba9f39fbc2876e64d12cd662f72?d=identicon

Ben

Chances of Bellinger moving to the OF permanently?

What I've heard is that you're trading a 7 glove at 1b for a 5 glove in the outfield. I don't think the Dodgers would do that.

27/01/2017 18:04
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

38532c288093cb0bc1563a09c3f21df6?d=identicon

Mike Sixel

Would you have traded Dozier straight up for De Leon, from the Twins' side? thanks!

No. I don't think that's enough value given what Dozier has been the last two years.

27/01/2017 18:05
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

7efd721c8bfff2937c66235f2d0dbac1?d=identicon

Adam

Fernando Tatis Jr is someone a lot of people are including on Padres Top 10 lists, but to consider him a Top 50 prospect in all of baseball is pleasantly surprising. Is this ranking based on what he's done, or what you expect him to do in 2017?

It's based in this case entirely on scouts' feedback about him specifically and the list as a whole. I have yet to see him play.

27/01/2017 18:05
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

D9ffaca46d5990ec39501bcdf22ee7a1?d=identicon

Tom

You have mentioned teams trying to avoid sending prospects to extreme environments (Colorado Springs, Lancaster, High Desert, etc.) or ballparks (Savannah) that might adversely impact their development. What factors do teams consider when seeking player development contracts with minor league affiliates? Is there a reason some teams get stuck with affiliates that don't really make sense for player development, geographic, or business reasons (thinking the Brewers in Colorado Springs or the Mets in Las Vegas)? I understand there are only a limited number of markets and minor league teams, but why aren't teams more aggressive in seeking agreements with affiliates, or owning them outright (like the Braves)?

Proximity to MLB club, quality of facilities, hitting environment, attendance are all factors. More clubs are buying affiliates to avoid the biennial shuffle.

27/01/2017 18:06
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

12e86da6ae0162dcf388846e5ec62ccb?d=identicon

Stevie

Hey Keith, thanks for all the great work.
If you had to pick a Mets prospect to jump into the Top 100 next yr between Andres Gimenez, Wuilmer Becerra, Tomas Nido, Luis Carpio and Dez Lindsay.......who would you choose? Do you think any of them (or even more than one of them make that jump?
Thanks again.

I pick a sleeper for each team, which is exactly what you describe, in the org reports that will run next week. The 10 East teams run Monday, Central Tuesday, West Wednesday.

27/01/2017 18:07
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

D0f59baadadd3349e4a9b2674bcceae8?d=identicon

Johnny

No Tyler O'Neill, Keith? That's just baffling to me, especially given his breakout year away from the CAL. Please explain!

Breakout year? Interesting, given the mediocre contact rate. He's also a bat-first guy who's physically maxed out already and won't provide value on defense. Now, to be clear, omitting a guy from the top 100 is not saying he sucks. I'm saying he's not one of the top 100 prospects in baseball. There are more than 100 prospects in the minors right now, and always.

27/01/2017 18:08
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Defba617ebff177c47d8d6563a42cf6d?d=identicon

Danny

How close was Bradley zimmer to making the 100 cut? Thought he might eke in there after his strong afl. Thx!

But he didn't have a strong AFL. Lefties destroyed him there - 14 K in 30 PA.

27/01/2017 18:09
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

D0f59baadadd3349e4a9b2674bcceae8?d=identicon

Johnny

I assume Calhoun missed because of his defensive (lack of) prowess, but which position would suit him best?

Batters' box.

27/01/2017 18:09
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

0a6194fd0e695254a939a25c3d868d2c?d=identicon

Jake

Did Anthony Banda get any consideration in such a desolate system such as AZ's? (Cue "High Noon")

No - I wouldn't force a guy on the list just because he's the best guy in a bad system.

27/01/2017 18:09
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E6bec5bc048c16f28ba341f878ce654e?d=identicon

Grant

Come on, where is Tyler O'Neill? This is a GLARING omission!

Oh, well, if it's GLARING, I'd better get on that.

27/01/2017 18:09
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Dd2369889a6583e98ec5147292184173?d=identicon

addoeh

Without giving anything away, I was surprised by your Tebow ranking. Thoughts?

He's ranked #666.

27/01/2017 18:09
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E05699b45eae134804f4419d3fbb3139?d=identicon

Ethan

Keith, I am curious your thoughts on Hunter Renfroe. With him not being in your Top 100, are you most concerned with strikeouts? Thanks for your work!

Not just strikeouts but lack of offspeed recognition period.

27/01/2017 18:10
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Ae4da1f77c7660f5979a482bd30568f8?d=identicon

Lenny

I was surprised not to see Gavin Cecchini crack the top 100. You've said in the past that he's likely to stay at SS and while I know you don't think his offensive profile is as good as the top shortstops, he had an expected year in AAA. What happened that caused you to drop him?

He's no longer likely to stay at shortstop. His throwing problems from 2015 got worse.

27/01/2017 18:10
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

D5217991a5c7374b110deb03905676f7?d=identicon

Travis

What fan base usually asks the most questions on a weekly bases?

Right now it's Atlanta, although there's been a strange uptick in White Sox questions lately.

27/01/2017 18:11
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

083cec4b2118bd3f7872877a55e8e7d6?d=identicon

KLaw is out of his mind

A guy with makeup issues (and hasn't pitched above High-A) is the top SP prospect over two SPs who can throw nearly as hard, have better secondary stuff - and both have seen the bigs. Well, I'm convinced. (sarcasm detector in the red)

You lost me right there at "makeup issues." You almost certainly know nothing about Kopech's makeup except the secondhand stuff you've read. I would bet good money I know more about the subject, and obviously I'm comfortable ranking him where I did even knowing that information. And hey, feel free to omit the delivery questions I had on Reyes, since they don't support your whining.

27/01/2017 18:12
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

B46489c11cc0cf01e2f987c0237263f9?d=identicon

Craig

As a Brewers fan, I am really happy to see so many players in your top 100 at various positions (2 SPs, 2B, 3B, 2 OF) to go with Orlando Arcia. But is there anyone in the Brewers system who profiles as a future starter with good power (40 HR potential). For a team long known for sluggers, it seems odd that there isn't a big power guy already in the minors.

Brinson has 30 HR power, least. 40 HR power is pretty rare.

27/01/2017 18:13
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Dfcf28d0734569a6a693bc8194de62bf?d=identicon

G

I know you've reviewed the board game "Tak" for Paste, but I was wondering if you've given any consideration to reading the Kingkiller Chronicle books. I'm halfway through the 2nd book at the moment, and really enjoying it, even though it falls into a lot of the traps of the fantasy genre.

Nah, too long.

27/01/2017 18:13
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

B21dfb148d20b1febdd8d86417f925c1?d=identicon

Luke

Hi Keith, love your work! The aspects of Boston/Cambridge that you miss the most/least are...?

The cultural opportunities Boston offered.

27/01/2017 18:13
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E7cb1e977e896954fec46d2ea7832072?d=identicon

Parrot

Assuming Zack Collins can't stay behind the plate, how much of a gap exists between him and Matt Thaiss?

Large. He's got way more power. And I think he's a better hitter than I credited him for being before the draft.

27/01/2017 18:14
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

90b21c2558a2070f55c2837d2722f349?d=identicon

Fan of Tyler

Surprised to see Tyler O'Neill miss the list. What don't you like about him?

Wrong question. It's not "like." This is what I believe the player to be, or to lack.

27/01/2017 18:14
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E6edcac4ce80878a121fa931319e2cca?d=identicon

Nolan LeMond

Touki Toussaint fell outside your Top 100, not terribly surprising. Do you see his future more as a wipe-out reliever than a starter at this point?

I'd still develop him as a starter, but he has to repeat the delivery better to stay there. The reps of starting will help him even if he ends up in the bullpen.

27/01/2017 18:15
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

7efd721c8bfff2937c66235f2d0dbac1?d=identicon

Adam

What are your thoughts on relief pitchers in the Hall of Fame? The top four relievers per JAWS are Eck, Mariano, Hoyt Wilhelm and Goose. I would be inclined to draw the line right there. I am not in favor of Trevor Hoffman for the HOF, and I thought Bruce Sutter was a very bad selection a few years back. However, I am willing to give Rollie Fingers a pass on account of the mustache.

I feel pretty much the same way, although Eck was a dubious choice too, sort of compounding the error of the MVP award he got.

27/01/2017 18:15
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Ac5864a0f91967e4e6f0ed8f1b50470f?d=identicon

Crumb

Any thoughts on the Dodgers Julian Leon? Or is he too far away to really project?

He hasn't hit in two years and can't catch.

27/01/2017 18:17
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

585f98ed9d73111845ef5e876fd8c8dc?d=identicon

Van

You rated Nick Senzel extremely highly. Assuming he is still prospect eligible at this time next year, do you think there's any chance that Taylor Trammell could be ranked higher than Senzel?

Not really. But I think Trammell is a candidate to make a big jump this year.

27/01/2017 18:17
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Fd144f65f19df1c7adaa116c44ce2617?d=identicon

Nick

One of my favorite things about the prospect list is seeing the balance between ceiling and proximity to the majors. Ever give any thought to extending it to still-young major leaguers? I.E. I would love to see how the added certainty of Addison Russell compares to the upside of Ahmed Rosario.

No, because this is already more work than I can handle.

27/01/2017 18:17
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

7f15f1ad99c489dc0314952535e424d5?d=identicon

Jeff

Reading the reports for Yadier Alvarez & Kopech...they seem fairly similar yet one is in the mid 40s and the other in the top 10. Can you elaborate on why such a difference between these two specific players? Thanks as always for the work...this package is the whole reason I pay for insider.

Big command difference between the two even right now. Alvarez could barely throw a strike a year ago. I don't know if he ever gets past 40 command. Kopech I think will.

27/01/2017 18:18
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

C13e13da2073260c2194c15d782e86a9?d=identicon

Paul

How far has Brady Aiken's stock fallen for you?

He was pitching with a 45 fastball last summer, so until he gets all his velocity back, he's not a top 100 candidate.

27/01/2017 18:19
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

7f15f1ad99c489dc0314952535e424d5?d=identicon

Jeff

A lot of mentions of "too big to stay at SS", even going back to Seager and Correa. Obviously a lot of guys will move off the position for various reasons, but at what point might we have to adjust the thinking in terms of size based on how athletes in all sports are getting bigger, faster, stronger than in prior generations?

Correa's defensive numbers are not good, so I think size still matters for shortstops. Perhaps Seager is an exception, although based on one year I don't think I'd give up on the old maxim.

27/01/2017 18:20
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

A3b8eb6faaf230bd0944847c527d30bf?d=identicon

Denis

You once thought very highly of Jorge Soler; are you still a believer?

Yes. Just gotta stay healthy.

27/01/2017 18:20
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

6a25607bacf43da403b5feef7c0af72d?d=identicon

Joshkvt

PEDs and assault of an elderly employee aside, it would be fair for a HOF voter to reject Manny for tanking an at-bat in an important game because he was pouting, right?

Or for simply giving up on defense. There are fair reasons to omit him in favor of ten other candidates.

27/01/2017 18:20
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

179909b745f81f03f177a3079e0ce5e3?d=identicon

Henry

Keith, what are your thoughts on the Forsythe/De Leon trade?

Liked it a little more for Tampa Bay. De Leon needs some tweaking but I think he's a surefire back-end starter now.

27/01/2017 18:20
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

91266c6f02a2ed15b62401ce5c48e41f?d=identicon

Democ..libertari...idk

Everyone's fine with a big government as long as their party is in charge. But once the opposition takes control they freak out because they know/realize how much power the President & company has. Sure, big governments in the right hands can do some good things, but it also makes it easier for what's happening right now to happen. Am I wrong?

That sounds reasonable to me. Although I feel like the Republican party pushed for smaller government for so long (something I could buy into, although as always the devil's in the details) that it's weird to see them now advocating lots of big government expenditures.

27/01/2017 18:21
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Fd144f65f19df1c7adaa116c44ce2617?d=identicon

Nick

Have an opinion on Jose Albertos? Crazy young and small sample sized, but what's the upside look like?

Four innings is about as small a sample as you can get, but he's in my Cubs top ten, so check that out on Tuesday. It's legit stuff. Albertos', I mean, not my Cubs top ten. Well, both, really. OK, next question.

27/01/2017 18:23
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Fd144f65f19df1c7adaa116c44ce2617?d=identicon

Nick

Apparently the Cubs had the choice to send Jimenez or Torres to New York for Chapman. Think they blew it, or is it too early (and excessive knitpicking)? I'm aware of their rankings in your top 100.

No. Either guy was going to be a big price to pay, and obviously I feel like both guys are going to end up stars. No matter who they gave up, you'd feel a little mixed right now about losing that kind of prospect even with the World Series win.

27/01/2017 18:26
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

5567da4a51cf627b3c8b6b881d7d68d2?d=identicon

The Kid

Have you ever released a teams top 10 within the top 100 before? Braves almost snuck in there (I assume they will with the honorable mentions)

No. I believe they did set the record with 9 guys on this year's list, though. I don't recall any team ever getting to 9 before.

27/01/2017 18:26
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E4d5185ea3d4db4d1067adc9aa5f8b16?d=identicon

Shaun

Jorge Mateo vs. Gleyber Torres: Who is the Yankees future SS, and does the other move to CF?

Torres. Mateo has to show he can make good enough contact to play at any position right now. That's two years of weak contact, and while he's way faster than Torres, Torres has better hands and actions at short.

27/01/2017 18:27
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

57c10320c556e3376e8df1cebffd5b91?d=identicon

Randy

If Willie Calhoun could play average defense at 2nd would he have made your top 100?

And if my aunt had balls, she'd be my uncle.

27/01/2017 18:27
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

F4a1dde0c685cdf871379b30c270973f?d=identicon

Jack C.

The big issue on Twitter today is the debate on whether or not people should write for free. For example, Daren Rovell and Matthew Berry argue that you should write for free for companies to make connections, gain exposure, etc. Everyone has to start somewhere and that is how they did it. On the other hand, people are arguing that you should never write for free and that you are being taken advantage of when it comes to your hard work. I guess this relates to many things - but in relation to working in baseball (bb ops department) or writing about baseball, what is your stance on this issue? I worked in a non-baseball ops internship role in baseball for minimum wage and have been writing about baseball for a few years now with zero pay.

I never work for free. Even now, when I can afford it, I wouldn't write for anyone else for free. Now it's part principle, part ensuring both parties have some skin in the game. I also truly wish - not that it's happening in the next four years - that the federal government would call free internships what they are, an illegal circumvention of minimum wage laws.

27/01/2017 18:29
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Xx1orubu normal

Chris Garosi

Not really a question, but a suggestion for a book tour should one come to fruition. If you come to DC, Politics & Prose would be a great choice and then an "after party" at Comet Ping Pong which is just around the corner.

Hell, I'd go visit CPP just to show my support for them after what the tin-foil hat Nazi crowd has done this year.

27/01/2017 18:30
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

3a368818b7341d48660e8dd6c5a77dbe?d=identicon

Joe

Is is too early to say the Phillies made a mistake taking Moniak first overall since Rutherford is ranked higher and cost about half as much? I could understand not taking Groome if they didn't want a pitcher, but Rutherford plays the same position.

It's too early and I didn't rank them THAT far apart.

27/01/2017 18:30
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw