Klawchat 12/15/16
Flaccid ego in your hand ... it's Klawchat.
Greg
Atlanta has mentioned wanting a catching prospect in AA or AAA. Would Baltimore part with Sisco?
I didn't think so a few months ago, but now I think they might, especially with Castillo potentially there for two years. I like Sisco - not a star, but a good regular who can hit.
Klaw
Evan
In a previous chat you mentioned that you used points for a vacation. Curious if you have any recommendations for a hotel chain to use for business travel. Thanks!
I'm a Marriott whore like everyone else in baseball.
Klaw
Matt
So umm...Russia. Apparently more than 50 members of the Electoral Collage demanding an investigation to Russia tampering w/ the election. Think there's merit to this or it's just smoke and mirrors?
I think it's probably less dramatic than the headlines appear, but I would also favor an investigation if only to determine whether something happened at all that we need to protect against in 2018 and 2020. If Trump's camp specifically worked with Russian hackers or authorities, that's a legal question that I probably don't know enough to answer.
Klaw
Armin
Hi Keith, wouldn't it be the perfect time to trade Masahiro Tanaka? 1. If he stays healthy he will definitely opt out of his contract after the 2017 season. 2. He has had elbow problems in the not so distant past. 3. The market for top talent has been set with the trades for Miller (deadline), Chapman (deadline), Sale, Eaton, etc. I know the Yankees want to be competitive while still rebuilding but this seems like a good opportunity to cash in on Tanaka. What do you think?
It's a good time to explore his market, with no starters really out there, but if the Yanks trade him it's probably a hit of a couple of wins a year that they can't easily replace.
Klaw
Adam
Assuming that the pre-season rankings of draft prospects holds up until draft time, is there a prospect with upside so big that you take him over one of the "big three" of Greene, Kendall, or Wright?
We have Kendall 1, and I think that'll hold for a while unless he has a surprisingly poor spring. Royce Lewis is a guy to watch, with 1-1 kind of upside.
Klaw
section 34
I keep reading that the CBA is considered a win for the owners. Why?
I'm going to write about this very soon. I generally agree with that sentiment.
Klaw
JG
What ado about the Padres these days? Seems counterintuitive to target any quality SPs to ensure a quality tank. And maybe the same thought about targeting a Jose Iglesias as a SS upgrade.
I think tanking in baseball is overstated - teams don't tank so much as they trade away players who can help now for prospects who can help later. So that implies acquiring a quality SP or two whom you can trade at the deadline.
Klaw
Ben
No question here. Just find it funny that Javier Vazquez (43.3 bWAR, 53.9 fWAR, 105 ERA+, and one very famous 2nd place Cy Young vote) can't even crack the Hall of Fame ballot, while Jack Morris (43.8 bWAR, 55.8 fWAR, 105 ERA+, and all teh wins!) came within a whisker of being inducted.
All about the narrative. And maybe skin color has a little something to do with it.
Klaw
Robert
Keith, we don't know his justifications, but I have a lot of issues with Steven Marcus' 2017 HOF ballot. What is the fairest way to determine if a reliever is HOF worthy? I have a hard time, statistically or anecdotally, of giving a HOF vote to any reliever outside of Mariano Rivera (but definitely not Trevor Hoffman).
I think Rivera should be the threshold for career innings going forward. He pitched more than Sutter, Hoffman, or Wagner, and pitched better than any of them, and had that postseason resume to boost his candidacy. If you can't even reach Mo's modest 1200-odd innings, then most likely you're not worth further discussion, because it's hard to believe you could have been as valuable as Rivera while pitching less.
Klaw
Andy
One thing on the anti-hazing thing. It seems like, it's just banning it as part of a team organized thing. I'm sure that Huston Street is still free to wear cheerleading and Hooters outfits wherever and whenever he wants to. I'm guessing he will choose not to do so, because of various reasons like unmanly and that he'll be made fun of. And I'm sure he wouldn't understand the irony.
Agreed. A reader said to me on Twitter (I think) that this is not about the 8-10 rookies a year who are fine with dressing up as a gag. It's about the one or two who aren't fine with it. And that's exactly it.
Klaw
Mike
Given the automatic depreciation of Rockie hitters' stats, would you project they can get better than a #3 or #4 starter for Charlie Blackmon? Related question: has Bridich lost his mind?
Really don't understand their offseason so far. $18 million for a mediocre LHR after giving up pick 11 for Desmond? Blackmon's pretty well regarded though because he's always had great tools, so there's enough of a belief that he'll produce outside of Coors. He's not Dante Bichette.
Klaw
Nick
If you were Lunhow, would you trade Musgrove + Martes + Tucker for Quintana, and why or why not? I go back and forth as an Astros fan but think I'd be happy with him pulling the trigger.
If I'm Luhnow I do it. If I'm Hahn I'm not even countering because it's so low. FWIW, I don't know that that was ever discussed by the clubs.
Klaw
Jake
Hi Keith, not trying to come at you, just legitimately asking. Why do you occasionally rush to break trades on Twitter? You strike me as the type that would say "leave the rat race to Heyman, Rosenthal, etc. and analyze thoroughly once all details are known". What's the benefit in those extra 5 minutes? Thanks for the chat!
Because if I get news, I share it. I have no idea why you'd even ask.
Klaw
Keith
Now that the White Sox are clearing their MLB roster, do you think Matt Davidson will get a chance to play? Last I heard, his 3B defense was considered plus. Does he still have everyday starter upside to you?
He's not a plus defender, but he has a good swing and average power. I hope he gets one more chance before he's discarded to the NRI scrap heap.
Klaw
A Short Guy
Will guys like Nick Allen (2017) and Nick Madrigal (2018) get first round consideration or does their height hurt them too much?
Don't think either ends up in the first round for that very reason.
Klaw
Seath
My Fiance and I are having a Christmas Eve Dinner with my parents at my brother and his wife's house. Because they have a newborn, my Fiance and I would love to provide the main course for dinner but are having a hard time figuring out what we can cook if we have to also transport it. What do you reccomend?
You want weight to it so it'll retain its heat in transport, or can be reheated without doing damage to it. Something like a stew (HT Carl Weathers). Maybe Serious Eats' pressure-cooker Green chicken chili? That's a go-to dish for me.
Klaw
Nick
How close was Clarke Schmidt to making your top 30 draft list? I remember you liked him in previous tweets and chats.
I like the stuff, but it's a bad delivery.
Klaw
Ceej
Would you move Moncada to CF to take advantage of his speed?
If he shows he can't improve at 3b. Lifelong infielder moving to CF shouldn't be taken as a given that it works.
Klaw
Jackson
How is it ok to support a Casey Affleck movie and not support Chapman or any other POS? If you'd resign if forced to sign Chapman, shouldn't you refuse to see the Afleck movie?
Three people have asked variations of this profoundly stupid question. The analogy to seeing Affleck's movie is watching Chapman pitch, not signing him to an $86 million deal. Think critically for a second before playing this dumbass "gotcha" game.
Klaw
Jeff
Speaking only in terms of fit, and not expected cost to acquire, is Logan Forsythe, Brian Dozier or Yangervis Solarte the best option for the Dodgers current roster?
Dozier's a legitimate all-star, and if they can acquire him without giving up Bellinger or Verdugo I'd do it. Those two kids are close to major-league ready with huge upsides, and I don't think I'd part with either for Dozier's age-30 and -31 seasons.
Klaw
Ed
Have you ever made figgy pudding?
Piggy pudding? With bacon?
Klaw
Kramer
Can Carson Kelly be an everyday Catcher? What do you see his upside as?
Yes, above-average regular for me. Great athlete, great kid, really improved defensively over the last two years, more pop in there than he's shown to date.
Klaw
Danny
Thoughts on Josh Staumont? I think he's a RP without a drastic uptick in command (which is possible but he's not a fresh prep pitcher).
I agree with you completely. He can be around the strike zone, but I saw maybe his best outing of 2016 and it was still below-average command. He was just blowing A-ball guys up with pure stuff.
Klaw
Marshall MN
The Onion had a great headline this week about Rick Perry getting nominated as Secretary of a department he once wanted to get rid of (Dept Energy) - oh wait that wasn't a satirical headline from The Onion, it was reality.
I'm waiting for General Sherman to get the nod for Secretary of Agriculture.
Klaw
BoBo from FishTown
Thoughts on Brandon Brooks of the PHL Eagles 'coming out' about His anxiety atttacks that have prevented Him from playing the last few games? And His coach calling it a 'weird situatuon'?
I'm glad he felt confident enough to talk about it publicly and deal with the ignorance that he's getting from his coach and from fans.
Klaw
John
How does Jeren Kendell stack up with recent draftees from the SEC (Senzel, Swanson, Bregman, Benintendi)? How concerned are you about his k-rate?
I ranked him at 1, so I'm obviously not that concerned about his K rate; he's unusually toolsy for a college hitter. He has more upside than the first three guys you mentioned, but those three were also better hitters as sophomores and better equipped to get to double-A quickly than Kendall is right now.
Klaw
Pramit Bose
There has been some sentiment around here that the Jays acted too quickly in signing Kendrys Morales to a 3 year deal given that there hasn't exactly been huge demand for power this off season. Do you think this is the case? And are we starting to see organizations value more "complete" players (i.e. offense, baserunning and defense) than one dimensional ones?
Yes, I was out of the country when that happened but I thought it was a bad deal for the Jays given all the comparable players out there who'll probably end up signing for a year.
Klaw
Lee
Keith, which of the Braves pitching prospects will likely have the most impact on the team? Seems to me Fried is getting overlooked and could be a future ace.
Don't think he could be an ace but I think he could be an above-average starter. Toussaint might have the best upside of anyone, but isn't as close to getting to his ceiling as Fried is to his.
Klaw
Chris
Keith, I wanted to thank you for turning me on to the concept of sipping rums. I now prefer them to bourbon. Have you tried either Dictador or Zaya 12 year?
Not yet. Not familiar with Dictador at all.
Klaw
Marshall MN
Plus just generally in regard to any hazing...why should any of it be allowed? I hate when hear stories about rookies having to buy the vets dinner (especially given how comparatively little most rooks make), or carrying their bags, or doing anything that demeans them. It isn't needed, there are better ways to build camaraderie, and a lot of times all of this stuff just ventures in physical/mental abuse.
I tend to agree with this, as I explained in my email newsletter this week, but I'm realistic about what teams will be able to enforce in the short term, and I thought the introduction of any policy on the topic was a big first step.
Klaw
Priya
Any trick to identifying which prospect with Sale like deficiencies will defy the odds and stay healthy or is it a fool's errand?
I don't think so, but I tend to think in a certain way, building heuristics and being very critical of exceptions to those guidelines. Sale violated several of them - the bad delivery, the lack of a breaking ball in college, and the narrow frame - and yet has had a Hall of Fame start to his career. Credit the White Sox with drafting him in spite of the questions about whether he could start, and with getting him from a 40 breaking ball to a 70. But if I saw another Chris Sale I'd probably have similar reservations because the majority of guys with those issues don't pan out.
Klaw
Tom
Agree that people are playing the wrong game of "gotcha". The question they should be asking in relation to the Casey Affleck film is, "If you were still a Yankees fan, would you purchase a ticket to watch a game knowing they employ Aroldis Chapman?"
Yep. Or, if I were a film director, would I cast Casey Affleck, knowing the accusations that he's harassed women? (Probably not.) But for me to deny the quality of his performance would be analogous to denying Chapman's effectiveness as a pitcher, which I've been very careful to avoid doing. Chapman's a great pitcher I wouldn't want on my team. Affleck's a great actor I wouldn't want in my film.
Klaw
Pat D
So based upon your answer to Ed's question, is John Denver & The Muppets the greatest Christmas album of all time, or merely one of the very good? Also, appreciated the Coach Z reference on Twitter this week.
I grew up listening to that album so I can't pretend to be objective. Pretty much any vintage Muppets Christmas thing is good, including the Muppet Christmas Carol, which we watched last night as I sang along with my daughter. If they gave a prize for bein' mean, the winner would be him!
Klaw
Tommy Tutone
What do you see from Paxton this year?
More of the same maddening inconsistency, I think.
Klaw
Jason
Keith, hopefully you can help me out here regarding the Russians. I'm a Republican who didn't vote for Trump (or Clinton, for that matter). Let's assume that the Russian government did release the emails purposefully to help Trump. Why would that mean that the electoral college should then vote for Clinton? As long as they weren't actually tampering with the votes themselves, why should this interference be actionable? It's not as if Putin favoring Trump was some secret
Is anyone arguing the EC should vote for Clinton? I have not, and would not, even though I voted for her and would prefer to see her as President than any GOP option. The idea of faithless electors isn't to give the election to the other party.
Klaw
Tommy Tutone
How good is Lance McCullers? Will he be a #1?
Who do you think bounced back from injuries, G Cole, deGrom, both, neither?
I've said for a while I think LMJr will end up in the bullpen because of his delivery. It's ace stuff, but he has yet to hit 160 innings in any season and keeps getting hurt. I'd rather see him stay healthy all year.
Klaw
Chris
How batshit crazy are these guys in Washington that are trying to pass legislation allowing guns into the stadiums?
I mean, do you want to be in the stadium with people who decide to bring guns into it? Who says, hey, I'm going to see the M's, where's my TEC-9?
Klaw
Troy McClure
I'm surprised someone with social anxiety would say such harsh things to so many readers. You shouldn't always assume bad intent with bad questions.
Don't drag my anxiety into this irrelevant discussion. And "gotcha" questions always have bad intent.
Klaw
Perry
What do you think on the next CA Attorney General stating that he will not adhere to federal law regarding immigration and will go so far as to obstruct the federal government from enforcing its laws?
This is how we get cases into the judicial system, no?
Klaw
Jeremy
Who should get the most innings behind the plate in 2017: Castillo, Joseph, or Sisco?
Castillo. If Sisco's not their catcher of the future any more, they should trade him for a young starter.
Klaw
Chris
Given the amount they can get in return, should Baltimore trade Machado if they get off to a slow start? They aren't terrible but they aren't great and their farm system is sorely lacking, so I think this should actually kick start a real fix.
I think they're going to have to explore trading him soon, but since they were a WC team in 2016 doing it now would probably be seen as a white flag. Explore it in July, push it in November.
Klaw
Vin
Are you a believer in a Parker/Williamson LF platoon for SF?
I am not.
Klaw
Jim
Ken Rosenthal wrote an article about how the Braves farm system is considered not mature enough yet and how that hurt in the Sale talks. Also that their pitchers were high risk with mid rotation upside. Why do people keep writing these things about the Braves system yet they are ranked Top 5 by nearly every prospect guy?
No idea. Atlanta has so many prospect arms that I think your second sentence is not a fair summary of the system; they have many with higher upside, and of course many with lower upside. You can't just take the average of all the prospects.
Klaw
Jeremy
Any favorite Christmas books for children? We give one to each child to open in bed each Christmas morning and, with 4 kids, we feel like we're running out of quality options.
Not specifically Christmas but my daughter always loved Stranger in the Woods.
Klaw
Tom
So you wouldn't cast Casey Affleck in a movie but you'll vote to put Bill Clinton back in the White House? He settled out-of-court on multiple sexual assault lawsuits.
Bill Clinton hasn't run for President since 1996. It's funny how people do this with a woman running for office, but never with a man.
Klaw
Todd-bowls
It feels like Greene is decent at two positions rather than great at one. Agree or Disagree
Great defensive shortstop. Questionable bat. Potentially great pitcher, huge upside, not there yet. So it's a little more involved although I understand why you'd ask that.
Klaw
Rusty
Keith, do you have an opinion on acupuncture?
I've seen no research that indicates it works, and there's no known biological mechanism to explain why it would work. Here's a good essay on why: https://sciencebasedmedicine.org/acupuncture-doe...
Klaw
Rob
I know the Pirates are probably unlikely to get involved, but would Meadows, Keller and Newman be enough/too much to get Quintana?
I don't think that fits the White Sox' goals for such a deal and probably isn't enough close-to-the-majors value, but it's better than the reported Houston proposal.
Klaw
Chris
Rockies with a puzzling offseason so far, eh?
I don't understand it. They're not a terrible team, but so far they haven't done enough that I could project them to even 85 or so wins, and I could easily see the Desmond deal going south on them quickly.
Klaw
Chuck
If there's a lot of anecdotal evidence that something is effective but no science-based research, is there merit for you? Thinking of acupuncture or anything else.
Well there's a lot of research on acupuncture that hasn't shown it's any better than a placebo. If there's zero research, and a plausible explanation why something might work, then I'd consider it.
Klaw