Klawchat 2/23/17
I got an open mind, so why don't you all get inside? Klawchat.
Andy (KC)
At what point should a team like the Royals bring up a guy like Zimmer and just let him fire whatever bullets he has in live action? I have to assume he'd be good out of the bullpen already, and what's the point of him throwing another pitch that doesn't count?
I tend to agree with this, but if Zimmer can't go back-to-back days, which seems likely given his history of arm issues, then it's hard to carry him as a reliever in a modern bullpen. You'd have to structure some of the bullpen usage around him, which I think implies a certain type of manager.
Klaw
Matt
In last week's chat, someone mentioned he enjoyed learning and was wondering about college even though he was 37. I went back to college when I was 39. Not only did I enjoy it, but I was never the oldest student in the class. Don't let age be a deterrent to learning!
Indeed. Why would anyone ever stop learning? If I didn't have to work, I'd probably spend some of my free time taking classes. If I've lost my interest in learning, stick a mirror under my nose.
Klaw
Bill G.
Hi Keith. Which pitcher has more upside potential: Alec Mills (CHC) or Jorge Lopez (MIL). Thanks!
Lopez. Potential mid-rotation guy or better. Worlds ahead of Mills.
Klaw
Rahn
Kind of feel like Brooke has been foreshadowed to win Top Chef all year and tonight we'll see, but I have to say this crop of contestants looks to be one of the weakest. (Said the guy who didn't get to taste one thing.) But really, the newbies either never got the benefit of the doubt at Judges' Table or were overmatched, leading to a run by the also-rans. I mean, that rude, sweaty John was in the final four!
Agreed across the board. Been debating this with another parent from the bus stop - she has still enjoyed the season, I haven't as much. I think if you were a big fan of any of the final 3, you probably got more out of this season than I did. (Although I admit to being Team Brooke this year, because she's just that good.)
Klaw
Fred
Hi Keith. What do you think is the likelihood Josh Staumont can remain a starter? Thanks
Less than 10%.
Klaw
Vander
If Jeren Kendall strikes out at a pace of once per game or more, how far down team's boards do you think he'd fall? Do you think the Twins or Reds would still consider him at the top of the draft?
Given his other abilities and the general comfort level with higher strikeout rates, I doubt he gets out of the top 5 unless his other stats are all down. Kendall does plenty on contact, and if the projected power shows up more in games, it'll balance out some strikeout concerns. That said, if he strikes out 70 times and doesn't walk much or doesn't show much power or scouts question his defense, that's a brutal combination.
Klaw
Edward
Keith, longtime reader, first time questioner in the chats. If an outfielder has a "20 arm", is it possible for them to improve that ability? And can they improve dramatically? Thinking about Donnie Dewees and his noted skillset
Welcome! My bark is worse than my bite. A 20 arm is a gift from the gods. It's not getting any better without divine intervention.
Klaw
John
Could you compare Jake Burger to Nick Senzel please? Do you think Burger will still be available in 30's in the draft?
Not even close. That's like comparing Jake's Wayback Burgers to Shake Shack. Bear in mind that Senzel put up those stats in the SEC, not in the Missouri Valley.
Klaw
Jim
What was your "WTF" font size when you read that Jered Weaver was signed by the Padres? Aren't they rebuilding?
Yeah but someone's gotta pitch. Bring in a bunch of veterans on one-year deals, sort 'em out in March.
Klaw
Nick
I'm trying to perfect the classic breakfast skillet (potatoes, bacon, cheese), and can't get the potatoes crispy enough. Any suggestions?
Parcook them beforehand and make sure they're really dry when they hit the oil in the skillet. Also, roughing them up a little bit between the two stages will increase the surface area in contact with the oil. I have fried potatoes almost any way you could think of, and I still prefer hashbrown or rosti style (shredded, salted, moisture squeezed out) for maximum crispiness.
Klaw
Jimmy
Chances of Astros making playoffs once in next 3 years?
Once or more? 75%.
Klaw
Josh
Best version of Ticket To Ride for 3 people? My 9-year-old has started playing the app version.
Start with the classic game. Europe is a slightly better game overall, but adds two rules that you don't need for a first-time kid player.
Klaw
Lewis
I heard you on MLB Network (I think it was you) praising Tyler O'Neill as a guy who could flat-out hit, but you seemed down on his hit tool by omitting him from the top 100. Has your read on him changed, or am I imagining this whole scenario?
You are imagining this whole scenario because I don't work for MLB Network and have never appeared on it.
Klaw
Sean
It was only a one inning appearance, but any initial thoughts to Anthony Banda being recorded at 95-97 during the game against GCU? Possible relief ace if he doesn't make it as a starter?
It was a one-inning appearance in March. I remember Andy Oliver doing that one spring. That didn't quite work out.
Klaw
Chris
Have you ever watched the movie Inside Out? I feel like it's really underrated and has a pretty solid storyline/message.
Yes and reviewed it (http://klaw.me/1Fx4j70). I would vote for that over any of the five 2016 animated films I've seen - four of the nominees or Finding Dory.
Klaw
Joe
If international players were part of the amateur draft, where do you think Maitan would have been drafted?
He's 16, so it's not a reasonable comparison. If he'd gone to a US high school for a year and come out at 17, which is feasible, then assuming he performed like I expect he'd have been a top ten pick. But if you'd put him right in the draft at 16 compared to 'proven' amateur talents in the US, Canada, and Puerto Rico, I don't think he does.
Klaw
Still not James Baldwin
Did you have a chance to catch either Neruda or I Am Not a Negro last weekend? I saw Neruda and thought I liked it, but left confused. Pork tenderloin at Cocina Lolo was 80 grade, though. Looking forward to your reviews . . .
I saw IANYN yesterday in Philly. I don't understand the praise for it, and I'll try to write up a review tomorrow. Neruda I'll have to catch online later on. I'm also super annoyed that My Life as a Zucchini isn't opening nationally until next Friday, after the Oscars, or I would have gotten all 5 animated nominees in time. I did get all 5 documentaries and 7/9 best picture nominees.
Klaw
Andy
Can Ian Anderson be a true ace, or is a 2/3 his ceiling? P.S. I really appreciated your very subtle reference to Jethro Tull in his top 100 write-up. It was the obvious joke, but you didn't force it. Bravo
I'd say more of a #2, with enough variance either way that ace is within the range of potential outcomes.
Klaw
Nick
Do you see Bukauskas and Houck as starters or relievers at the next level?
Relievers. I give JBB more of a chance to start than Houck.
Klaw
Brian
By the way, no question, just a thank you...for not sticking to sports. #resist
You're welcome. By the way, did anyone notice my former home state of Arizona's latest? The state Senate is trying to block residents' First Amendment rights to freedom of assembly. I hope those of you who live there have been on the phones today.
Klaw
Jeff
Keith, where would you start Mitch White in the Dodgers system this season? How quickly do you think he can move through said system?
I assume he'll be on an innings cap, and I'd rather limit his time in the California League anyway, so I have no problem with starting him in Great Lakes and moving him up fast if he dominates. That innings cap also means he wouldn't get to the majors very quickly.
Klaw
Eugene
Can better pitch tunneling and deception be taught to pitchers?
Deception is largely a function of delivery. Change the delivery and you will change (but not necessarily improve) deception. The tunneling stuff is brand new and I think still in the hypothesis stage. If your question is whether a pitcher can be taught to throw one pitch that looks like another pitch until relatively close to the point where it hits the plate, well, yeah. That's something a good changeup is supposed to do, for example, or why we talk about a pitcher who can manipulate the spin on his breaking ball a little more.
Klaw
Jon Weisman
Keith, given your site URL, I'm wondering what your thoughts are on current and past Bloom County. It was one of my true favorites in the 1980s, along with Doonesbury, Far Side and Calvin & Hobbes. But whenever I read it now, I don't feel it holds up as well. Doonesbury still feels like a really sharp time capsule by comparison, and Calvin & Hobbes truly seems timeless. Were you/are you reading any of these?
Huge BC fan, of course, more from its heyday than the more recent iteration. I think the classics are still very funny but some of the jokes are products of their time. It would be hard to explain to my daughter why the whole Banana Jr 5000 joke was funny, or what the hair tonic storyline was about (the War on Drugs, for those who don't remember it). But god, those characters were tremendous, and Breathed's punchlines were some of the best and smartest anywhere on the comics page.
Klaw
Paul
Hi Keith, is your book only related to baseball or are you touching on other topics that you seem to enjoy talking about (I am fine with it but I am not interested)? If it is only baseball I will buy it, otherwise I will pass - thanks!
The book is only baseball - I discuss traditional stats that are falling out of favor and why they don't tell you what they purport to tell you; newer and/or better stats, from OBP to WAR to wOBA etc., that better answer questions about performance; and what baseball analytics might look like going forward, including a chapter on Statcast and its potential impact.
Klaw
Erich
2 part question. Do you think the NCAA has the power to fight against Trump's pull back on bathroom freedom by withholding events from states that move forward with "bathroom bills?" 2. Do you think the NCAA will actually do this?
Yes, they do, unless every state tried it. I guess it could be a boon for New York and California, though. And I think they will, or they'll try to do it, at least. Corporate America is not with Trump on this topic. They want their taxes cut and their regulations gutted, but it's pretty clear they want access to the largest workforce possible and one that isn't fighting or worrying about discrimination.
Klaw
DeMarcus
Hi keith, love these chats. I threatened to slap my friend once when he said that steaks didn't need to be seasoned as long as they were cooked medium rare. Is there any other way I could have reacted? I was just so shocked.
No, you did good.
Klaw
DeMarcus
Is there any chance that Connor Sadzeck can be an average starter at the big league level? Or is he destined for the bullpen?
I think it's 90% bullpen if not higher.
Klaw
Joe
Hi Keith - I think people are missing the point of the new intentional walk rule, as I've repeatedly heard remarks such as "this is stupid, this won't solve the problem, why bother." I don't recall Manfred every saying this will make a drastic difference, and what I see this as is a small step in the right direction. Sure this may only shave a minute (yes it takes longer than a few seconds to throw four balls) off of NL games, but compounded with future changes (hopefully!), such as limited mound visits and quickening replay reviews, it could make a substantial difference. Your thoughts?
If you're arguing it opens the door to more changes ... I guess? I saw it as something so innocuous that no one would really object. If they try a pitch clock, though, they're going to get pushback.
Klaw
John
Hey Keith, I'm not sure if you saw the segment on Mike & Mike discussing Ankiel's recent admission to drinking before games to calm his nerves. The turned the narrative into players drinking and totally ignored how this stemmed from his issues with anxiety which in 2001 wasn't as well known as it is today. I guess this is less a question and more a statement that mental health issues, when it comes to athletes, seem like an avenue that could raise awareness but it overlooked for a more popular narrative. It's disappointing and I'm thankful that you address the real issue and not the popular narratives when it comes to these issues.
I didn't see or hear it, but that is a shame. It sounds like (from your description only) they didn't treat anxiety as a medical issue, and how Ankiel may have self-medicated with alcohol. It's really too bad because I could have helped that discussion.
Klaw
Yoan Moncada
What is my best position, both objectively and for the long term plans of the White Sox?
Looked better at third to me than second. I think centerfield will always be an option given his speed.
Klaw
Chris
Do you think Cashman responded to Randy Levine's fuckery internally? What would you have done?
I would have called the player and the agent to apologize, to say that idiot doesn't speak for me or the organization, and to ensure the player that I value his contributions and perhaps open the door to a multi-year agreement that would avoid further acrimony in arbitration hearings.
Klaw
Chris in London
Any chance the ridiculous runner on 2nd proposal is just to distract us from a slightly less controversial rule change? P.S. Sorry about Piers Morgan.
That's Machiavellian. Or Trumpian. Also the runner on 2nd in extras is the worst idea ever.
Klaw
Sean
After the embarrassment of the latest CBA negotiations, how is Tony Clark still leading the union?
Everyone who asks something like this ignores that the players got the things that were most important to them in the last negotiation.
Klaw
Francisco
Have you seen Kyler Murray and Brandon Mcillwain ? How good are they in baseball ?
I saw Murray in parts of two games and McIlwain in one. I'd say both have first-round talent if they commit to playing full-time.
Klaw
Culture
Do you buy the argument that anything the Oscars do really has any tangible real world impact beyond that room? Like for instance Moonlight winning Best Picture would somehow be a win for gay rights
No, especially since that industry is fairly concentrated in blue states. But I might argue that Moonlight winning BP would lead more people to go see it and perhaps help some fraction of that new viewership view LBGTQ people or people of color a little more sympathetically. I don't think it would lead to any sort of sea change in views, though.
Klaw
Christian
Is Brendan McKay a hitter or pitcher long term in your opinion? What are his overall ceilings at both respective positions?
Pitcher 100%. Mid-rotation potential.
Klaw
Wannabe Top Chef
Chef Law - how do you go about organizing the recipes you use, either self created or taken from another chef/home cook? I find it hard to remember everything I've made in the past or would like to make in the future and tend to make the same meals quite often instead of enjoying a variety of different foods.
I have a shelf of cookbooks and binders with recipes I've clipped, plus stuff I've saved online, but when I decide what to cook it's usually either a request from a family member or because I was at the store and saw something that I wanted to cook (or reminded me of a favorite recipe, etc.).
Klaw
Travis
If you want to know how messed up the NCAA really is, listen to this. I'm trying to work for a D1 Football team as. student assistant. I can't technically work for them because it's against NCAA rules. A way around that would be to get into the work study program provided by the school. I can't get into the work study, because my parents make too much money. Even if I register as an independent, my parents still influence whether or not I can get into the work study program. The only way I get into the work study without my parents influencing it is if I was 24 (I'm 19), if my parents were in jail or dead (they aren't), or if I'm homeless (I'm not) along with a couple of other factors. An appeal to the NCAA could be sent but it it would just get immediately rejected according to our compliance office. It's just sucks that I get punished because my parents make too much when this job would actually help me advance my career. So the NCAA doesn't just screw the players.
The NCAA is a legal cartel. I don't understand why they seem to be exempt from antitrust laws. Do they pretend to non-profit status?
Klaw
Matt
Can you believe Milo? I was OK with what he said about women, blacks, and immigrants. But he crossed a line with pedophilia! Please excuse me while I clutch my pearls and lie on my fainting couch.
I'll escort you to your safe space, snowflake.
Klaw
Chris (Chicago)
Grimes' album Art Angels is still one of the best albums the last 3 years. That is all.
Yep. And she did a song with Janelle Monae, which is worth 50 million bonus points.
Klaw
Greg (DC)
An article was published today about the potential for MLB to expand to 32 teams. Most of the opinions suggested four divisions in each league, with four teams each (and then presumably one wild card for each league because MLB isn't going to reduce the number of teams making the playoffs). I think two divisions per league with 8 teams each makes more sense. If the playoffs have four division winners and one WC, one division winner would have to play the play-in game with the WC (deflating the regular season accomplishment of the division winner), or there would need to be a first round bye and longer playoffs. With three WCs, we could keep the play-in for the last two in. Also, I think larger divisions might increase interest outside home markets, by putting more teams in the same division as your hometown team. Do you have a preference for expansion, or is it too far off in your view? Thanks for all your great work.
I saw this on our site and disagreed with basically everything in it. I'd MUCH rather have fewer divisions with more teams than the converse, and I think the player pool and economy would support expansion but not in the way that roundtable expressed.
Klaw
Justin
I read your review on Hidden Figures today, and you don't seem to be the only person questioning it's quality as a movie itself. I know this will probably come off wrong, and I don't want it to, but is it possible that it received the Oscar Nominations it did because of last year's controversy? And if that's the case, is there a problem with that?
Oscars So White? Very possible. Grierson and Leitch wondered if that might help Denzel win Best Actor too (one said it would, the other still predicted Affleck). But I actually think the better explanation is that it's a very popular movie with a very positive and timely message. With Texas busy trying to roll back rights 60 years, it's a good time for movies that remind us what those days were like, whether it's HF or IANYN or The 13th.
Klaw
Travis
Hey Keith, thanks for taking my question. I have a three year old boy, and he loves throwing things... but his mechanics are a mess! His "W"s are all inverted, and sometimes look like "M"s. He often leads with the wrong foot. No question here, just nonsense from a young father, who appreciates all you do for us baseball fanatics.
The real problem is that you forgot to tie his right arm down so he learns to throw a gyroball with his left hand.
Klaw
Lucas
Ever since Billy Eppler left the Yankees for the Angels GM job, I've wondered about the possibility of him trading Trout to his former employers. Could you imagine the Yanks using their farm system to get Trout and then signing Harper?
Somehow i missed the news of Arte Moreno's passing.
Klaw
Bobbo
big fan here. i posted this in comments a few posts back but i'm still curious: why is drip-over superior to traditional drip? seems like the same process either way. (and by “superior” i’m only talking about the quality of the cup or pot of coffee)
I'm going to let Serious Eats answer this one: http://www.seriouseats.com/2014/06/make-better-p...
Klaw
EL
Can Arroyo and Beede help the Giants in 2017?
No on Arroyo. Possibly on Beede but I don't think they're inclined to rush him.
Klaw
JR
Going to keep watching Legion or was the pilot enough for you?
We watched episode 2 last week. We're a day behind because we're watching via amazon (we don't get FX ... we have a small bundle from Fios).
Klaw
Bob (Cleveland)
Wondering if you've had any opportunity to see Jason Heyward's "revamped" swing. From the half-dozen or so wings I've seen on video, it appears that there's some obvious emphasis on adding loft, but I'm wondering whether you've seen it and, if so, whether it appears to address what you consider to be the most glaring issue(s).
No - our radio affiliate in Chicago asked me about this and I shot it down right away. It doesn't mean jack until he's facing live pitching. I'm not trying to be Mr. Skeptical Smart Guy, but a swing that looks right in the cage doesn't mean a whole lot. Call when someone runs 95 in on his hands.
Klaw
Anonymous
With ICE performing a real life Milgram experiment, what do you foresee happening?
We know what happened at Stanford. It's already happening in the wild.
Klaw
CVD
Thought on Wieters to the Nats?
Whatever. I mean, I don't think it makes them better, unless he has that breakout year I predicted for him forever ago that has just never happened. And he's a poor framer and not considered a great game-caller. They had Norris and Lobaton. What's the upgrade here? A few runs, if that?
Klaw