Klawchat 4/21/16
Klawchat. Making no compromise with the public taste.
Jim J
Were you able to see Will Benson last week? Thoughts on him and/or teammate Rankin Woley?
Yes, I am going to write up the six HS kids I saw in the last week at some point today or tomorrow. Benson is very physically gifted, but the swing needs work and I think both he and Lowe were too high on my last top 50.
Klaw
Hank
What is your opinion on Vincent velasquez? Future number 2?
I'd probably say less than that, given the inconsistency of the breaking ball for his entire career and the lack of any track record of durability. A number 3, an above-average starter who maybe gives you fewer innings than you want, that's probably more like it.
Klaw
Ed
If Rio Ruiz continues his strong year at AAA, can he be a starting 3B on a quality team?
Sure, but the question is whether his strong two-weeks-does-not-a-year-make is real or SSS.
Klaw
Todd
After seeing Pint do you think he will be available to the Padres at 8? Or is he for sure a top 5 pick?
I think better than 50/50 he gets to 8. People who assume his velocity makes him a top 5 pick are a bit out of date - velocity alone doesn't lock you into the top 5.
Klaw
I think better than 50/50 he gets to 8. People who assume his velocity makes him a top 5 pick are a bit out of date - velocity alone doesn't lock you into the top 5.
guest
Jeff
Rakim at Union Transfer in Philly, July 14th. Performing the entire Paid in Full album. That is all.
Oh I've had my ticket since the presale. You can't get stuck with the steps.
Klaw
Shawn
Saw that Yusniel Diaz has three straight games with homers and has a trio of triples on the young season. Is this type of power unexpected from him? Reports I've read had him as more of a speed/ contact guy. Obviously small sample is in play but just wanted your thoughts.
Electric wrists. I had heard high-average medium-power over the winter, but I could see him ending up with surprising power in the McCutchen mold because his wrists are so quick.
Klaw
Ivan
Thank you for doing the chats here. I missed them for a while after they stopped on ESPN. Speaking of ESPN, and I understand if you don't feel comfortable speaking about this, but what is your take on the recent firing of Curt Shilling? I BTW agree with their decision. Free speech doesn't mean that you are free from the consequences of what you say.
I support the company's decision completely, and that's really all I can or should say about it.
Klaw
Maribel
Is your take on Schilling hypocritical? You seem to cut him a little slack since you know he's a good guy, but vilify someone like Andrew Shaw who said something totally wrong, but you come across as if he shouldn't be forgiven.
A number of people said this yesterday. It is inaccurate, and it is not very smart.
Klaw
Eric
Have you heard a reason for why the Jays seem to have started a lot of their guys a level lower that expected (Harris, SRF in LowA, Greene in high-A, etc).
Yes, but nothing that satisfied me. I think it sends a brutal message to players. The weather up here is fine, if that was an excuse for leaving Greene in Florida. Harris might be less advanced than expected on draft day, but the FSL is fairly pitcher-friendly, and if he's not ready to pitch there as a sandwich pick out of college, then you probably picked the wrong guy.
Klaw
Brian
Early season thoughts on Aaron Sanchez? Toronto announcers highlight "improved delivery". This has long been one of your stated concerns for Aaron. Have you seen a change (i.e. lengthened stride)? Thanks.
Can't tell off TV angles. I've looked, but the CF camera angle is brutal for this.
Klaw
Jameson Taillon
Do I still have a future in MLB?
Yes, absolutely.
Klaw
Josh
Keith, I know that it is early in the season and he is old for his level, but when you consider the final half of last season and his start to this season, has Andrew Knapp answered any of the questions you have about his ability to consistently hit major league pitching?
Not really. It's not like he's faced major-league pitching.
Klaw
Cooker
Have you ever been to Mario Batalys eataly stores? Chicago one is yyyyyuuuuugggggeeeee!
The NYC one is amazing. I could easily have gotten lost in there fora few hours.
Klaw
Francisco
Better hitter Zach Collins or Senzel ?
Senzel. Does it easier, better approach. Collins has some swing issues, not huge ones, but Senzel doesn't really have any.
Klaw
Craig
Just wanted to say thank you for demonstrating a basic principle of civility: you can disagree with a co-worker's actions/beliefs, agree with your employer's decision to terminate the co-worker's contract and still value the friendship that you had with the co-worker. This used to be the norm. Reading your Twitter replies yesterday was pretty depressing.
Thank you for saying so and understanding fully what I said.
Klaw
James
Coming into today, Max Kepler has three ABs in his last seven games. He's even fallen behind Oswaldo Arcia (ugh) for fourth outfielder duties. Wouldn't it have made more sense for the Twins to let Kepler get his PAs in Rochester and bring up someone like Mastroianni as the OF5 instead?
Yes, it would have. I don't really know what's going on.
Klaw
Christopher
When watching a pitching prospect face a hitting prospect, how do you handle trying to scout both of them during the same at bat?
Focus more on the hitter. I can watch the pitcher face the other eight guys in the lineup, and for a hitter it's more important to focus on what might be the only good pitching he faces all spring.
Klaw
Jed
Why does Terry Collins only pinch hit for Conforto against lefties? Curtis Granderson has a career OBP south of .300 against lefties, plus he does developing. Why not sit him occasionally instead of Conforto?
Because Terry Collins seems to hate relying on young players. It's stupid. His antics this year make me wonder if we all overrated him last year because the team played so well down the stretch.
Klaw
Bill
Correct me if I am wrong, but I believe you've stated that you do not think draft picks should be connected to free agent signings. Do you think teams losing free agents should be compensated in another way?
You could simply award such teams draft picks without penalizing the signing clubs.
Klaw
Keith
Do you know what other international players the Braves are targeting for this July besides Maitan, Yunior Severino and Abrahan Gutierrez? Thanks
No idea, and other than Cuban players who might have quicker impact in the minors I don't follow the July 2nd market. If you ever took an econ course and learned how imperfect information can screw up a marketplace, well, Exhibit A.
Klaw
Kevin
Certainly there are some serious questions about what "correct" or even "good" mechanics are for pitchers but is there any flaw you see in amateur guys that cause you to completely lose interest or doubt their ability to develop or stay healthy?
Not a big fan of players with head violence in their deliveries, or deliveries that are very arm-heavy (using too little of their legs for power). I try not to flat-out kill guys like that - for example, I had Carson Fulmer and Chris Sale ranked in the top ~50 in their draft years, too low for Sale of course but not a "no interest" ranking at all - just to rank them lower.
Klaw
LarryA
You've posted a few very convincing anti-anti-fat articles recently, but Ive also read some just as convincing articles from the other side. How are we non-scientists supposed to know what to eat anymore?
Eat lots of plants. And then eat whatever else makes you happy.
Klaw
Al
Would a team have to intentionally (before the season even) design the roster to have a bullpen throw ~650 innings? I ask because I dont think any Orioles starter should appear in the 6th inning...but couldnt figure a way to get 650 IPs out of their RPs. TY! (you're the best)
Yes, I think that's about right - and I think the Cubs did so without actually planning to get 600+ innings from their pen. Two long men would do it.
Klaw
Bruce
What caused you to rank Archie Bradley so highly a few years ago, and do you think he ever reaches those projected levels?
Used to have a plus fastball and 70 breaking ball with size and a good delivery. Stuff has backed up a little post-shoulder issues, changeup never really developed, command hasn't been even average. I would put him in the bullpen now, and revisit starting later after he's had success in the shorter role.
Klaw
Andres A.
Klaw. Be a GUY and rank these 3 albums: "AM" by Arctic Monkeys, "An Awesome Wave" by Alt-J and "The Bones of What You Believe" by Chvrches.
1-2-3: An Awesome Wave, AM, Bones.
Klaw
Fonz
Have you heard any reports on RHP from Pitt TJ Zeuch?
Yes, sounds like third round likely, good chance for second. Bad year for college pitching so some guys will go a round higher than their stuff and/or results merit. Missing four starts early this season hasn't helped.
Klaw
Sam
I see you were out to see Riley Pint this week. Did you notice anyone representing the Phillies there ?
I think every team was there. It was a chance to get Pint and Joey Wentz in one day, so of course just about every team was present. The Phillies had at least three guys there, but all left Pint's start after an inning to go to Wentz. I have said before I don't believe they're taking a HS arm at 1 and I absolutely don't believe it would be Pint if they did.
Klaw
John
Kyle Hendricks - I can't get a grip on what he is - AAAA type guy or useful part of MLB rotation. Your thoughts....
Useful part of MLB rotation.
Klaw
Fonz
HI Keith, have you read anything recently that will make the next version of your top 100/101, etc.?
Infinite Jest and All the Light We Cannot See.
Klaw
A
Hey klaw, can you clear up draft-eligible sophomores? I see MLB's official rules say "or are at least 21 years old", but when do they have to be 21 by? I thought draft day but then I noticed drafted sophomore Benintendi turned 21 a month afterwards.
45 days after the end of the draft. Stupid rule - just make them eligible every year.
Klaw
Tyler
Is there any historical precedent of a pitcher being able to sustain long-term success/health throwing a slider at the velocity and rate (around 25%) that Syndergaard is? Maybe he's a freak and he will keep this up but do you see him being able to sustain that pitch at that velocity that long?
No, but there isn't much historical precedent for the velocity around the game in general, is there?
Klaw
Satya
Blake Rutherford's old for a HS senior, but where would he rank in this draft based on his tools a year ago?
Still think he'd be top 10. The issue with the age of a HS position player is that he's older than his competition, which I think makes gauging the hit tool in particular difficult - can he really hit, or is he just beating up younger kids? In Rutherford's case, the hit tool is definitely there. You'd just have to believe he'll have enough pitch recognition to start 2017 in low-A.
Klaw
Anthony
So Prince is dead. Thoughts? I think Prince is one hell of a musician, very interesting for his stance on technology, and all around a cool dude.
I don't know if there's been a more talented musician in pop music in my lifetime - musicianship, versatility, lyrical cleverness, sense of melody. I don't think much of his work after the first name change (post-Diamonds and Pearls), but his 14-15 year peak is the GOAT for me.
Klaw
JD
If you worked for Colorado, what skill set would you look for or develop in pitchers? How do you like Hoffman's chances of success at Coors?
The one thing I wouldn't do is what they seem to be doing now - collecting a lot of guys who throw hard but straight without deception. Gray wasn't like that in college but he is now. Hoffman is like that. I don't think it works there, not that there's an easy formula. Perhaps it'll turn out that guys with especially high spin rates fare better in Denver, to throw one thing out there.
Klaw
Lucas Magalhaes
I know you are not surprised at all, but what you call us about Kevin Newman start?
Doing what I thought he'd do - making a ton of good contact. Surprised he hasn't tried to steal more bases, although it's just 13 games.
Klaw
Jack
Is Jake Bauers someone whose swing or approach is going to keep him from getting the power needed to be an above average corner player on a good team?
Yes. Don't foresee power, defense probably only works at first base.
Klaw
Jack
Can Buxton work out his K issues in the majors or will he need to head back down?
I'd rather see him play every day in the majors and work his way through it. Would also like to see them leave him alone at the plate - let him work this out, don't start trying to change anything about his swing or approach, which I've heard secondhand has been going on in the clubhouse.
Klaw
Rahim
In a recent chat, you mentioned that the A's were interested in Senzel? Is this more of a true reflection of his standing in this class or more indicative of Oakland's preference for "safer" high ceiling players?
I've heard they are very much on him and to some extent on Zach Collins.
Klaw
Dan
The insane 2018 FA class will (as of now) include Harper, Machado, Donaldson, McCutchen, Fernandez, Harvey and potentially Price and Heyward, among many others. With a couple dozen high-end free agents available and a finite amount of cash that teams will spend, would it make sense for some of those players so sign extensions in the next year to avoid sitting in a buyer’s market? Or should they take their chances on a big payday in the 2018 winter?
Someone in that group will sign an extension, perhaps after a trade. I believe Harper, Fernandez, and Harvey are all Boras clients, who typically don't sign extensions. Certainly Fernandez and Harvey should consider it as pitchers who've already had one TJ apiece. (Not one together, that would be weird.)
Klaw
Chaz
What's your favorite Prince song? He was the G.O.A.T. as far as mainstream music superstars as far as I'm concerned.
I actually ranked my favorite Prince songs in a 2009 dish post: http://meadowparty.com/blog/2009/05/29/top-20-pr...
Klaw
Nick
What are your thoughts on Kaprielian's velocity spike. Seems like he is holding it deeper into games. *If* it holds, what is his ceiling?
Good number two starter. I already was a big believer in the feel for pitching and command.
Klaw
Ty
Did Pint or Wentz do anything to cause you to consider moving them up/down in your rankings?
I'll slide Pint down a few notches next time around, nothing huge, but 96-100 is not sufficient by itself to put him over guys with more developed repertoires like Wentz or Garrett.
Klaw
Lorne
What are your thoughts on who the Braves grab at #3 this year in the draft?
I'd still bet on Corey Ray or Senzel if one is there.
Klaw
Jeff Mac
What's this early season success for Tyler White mean?
It means he can hit, just as we thought he could this offseason.
Klaw
Matt
After reading today of a DE HS student being assaulted and killed, it goes to show how horrible the violence in Wilmington has become (inside and outside of schools). Would you ever send your child to public school in the area or opt for private education?
My daughter's in a charter school. I would prefer not to go the private education route. That murder was in a downtown HS, by the way, not our district. Downtown Wilmington has some very rough areas. The economic gap between city residents and suburban residents a few miles away is enormous.
Klaw
Aaron
Any idea why the Brewers recalled Alex Presley and not Michael Reed?
Probably to give Reed more reps in CF before he comes up.
Klaw
Jack
Is Harper approaching the Bonds territory of "Just walk the damn guy in every high leverage situation?"
It was a bad strategy against Bonds and I think it's a bad one now too.
Klaw
Sam
Who was the better prospect: Orlando Arcia or Alcides Escobar? And why? Seem to be pretty similar players.
Not remotely similar. Arcia can hit, has plate discipline, has a little power, and is a great makeup guy with leadership. Escobar is none of that.
Klaw
Scott
Is Jason Groome your leading candidate to go #1 to the Phillies? What do you see as his upside if so?
No, I think the Phillies want a college player - Ray, Senzel, Puk now that he's healthy, Lewis as a longshot. If they go HS bat, Moniak would be the most likely pick.
Klaw
Marty in Seneca
What was your evaluation of Seth Beer coming out of high school last year?
He didn't come out of high school last year. He left in December to matriculate early so that as a college junior he'll be the same age as his classmates. Smart move.
Klaw