Klawchat 4/7/16
Let a sucker slide once, then I break his neck. Klawchat.
Jack
I saw an article that you and some Phillies brass were at the Groome start. What is the general protocol for you interacting with team employees at games? I assume it varies based on how well you know each other, but is the range from "don't even acknowledge it's each other's presence" to "it's like running into old friends"?
I know so many of these guys that it's more like the latter. I look forward to games like that because I'll see so many friends there.
Klaw
James
How would you compare Groome to Allard and Aiken?
Better than Allard - more physical, more present velocity, less effort. Aiken was more advanced, showing three (arguably four) pitches and better command, but bear in mind Tuesday was not a full effort outing.
Klaw
John
Does Groome being a "hometown kid" have any effect on whether the phillies should select him or not? Would the added pressure have any effect on the decision?
No. This is media bullshit we get almost every year. Teams are generally not that stupid. You take the best player, not the best player in your backyard.
Klaw
Eric
Keith, have you ever seen a 95mph slider before? Thor looks even better than advertised in your opinion who is the first pitcher the Mets lock up long term or do you think they will wait until they're all eligible for free agency
No and I'm guessing that was a cutter (or a bad gun reading). Thor is the one guy of their aces I'd most want to lock up - I think he offers the best potential for durability.
Klaw
Drew
Brandon Finnegan looked good with his first start and I understand it was vs. the Phillies. What are your thoughts on a potential mid rotation starter ?
I see no chance of that. Reliever all the way.
Klaw
Lyle
So, Drew Jackson. Couple of things: 1) Understand that Mariners fans had so little in the minors to be even hopeful about that we want him to be someone who exceeds his projections, and 2) You're the prospect guy so I'm sure that you're much more likely to be right about his projection than you are to be wrong. Having said all that, what kind of performance would Jackson need to have in the Cal League (skipping the MWL) in order for you to bump him up a level or two (say, from org guy to AAAA guy to fringe regular)?
Bakersfield is a good place to hit (as is the league in general) so I don't pay much attention to college products' stats there. In Jackson's case, he really wasn't much of a hitter in college, so making more contact and showing some plate discipline would be some progress, I suppose. But I'd say wait till AA.
Klaw
David
I know previously you said the Phillies were not interested in a HS pitcher at #1, but with Groome's ability and polish, and the relative disappointment of the college crop, is Groome now the odds on favorite at #1?
No. There is no "odds on favorite" this year. There's no Harper or Strasburg or even Cole. I do think Groome is the best prospect in the class now, having talked to a lot of folks about how Ray has looked this year, but that doesn't make him the odds-on anything.
Klaw
David
No question, just wanted to say you were great on TV and enjoyed hearing your insight during the broadcast.
Thank you - it was fun to do it and the guys (Boog, Sut, Doug) all made it easy for me.
Klaw
Bill
Do you have a suggested starting place for P.G. Wodehouse? He shows up on your top books list, but when I was looking for his books recently there seem to be a bunch, including random short story collections that have a bunch of overlap, and no clear place to start.
I started with the collection Enter Jeeves, which was three books in one, two of short stories and one novel.
Klaw
Dave
Do you have The Food Lab in your cookbook arsenal? I was a slow cooker carnitas guy also until I tried the crispy skin pork shoulder recipe, it's a showstopper. Great book
I do - yes, great book.
Klaw
Droopydave
Are the the benefits of 19 and 20 year old's playing in major colleges with diet and nutrition programs vs those eating fast food playing in lower levels of the minors valued by organizations? Or has this been corrected?
You think teams don't have diet and nutrition programs? Players are better off in pro ball, no matter what colleges try to tell you.
Klaw
Justin
So my took my 17 month old to get his 2nd round of flu shot's 2 months ago. The kid was literally never sick, he'd only been to the doctor only for his vaccines. Since then, we've been over a dozen times...reoccuring wheezing, cough, eczema, runny nose, the whole atroph march and it never ends . Of course its not the flu shot, right? Others have told me similar stories and my wife is becoming convinced. I stand firm but admit I'm starting to question it. Any suggested reading materials? Man, having kids sucks sometimes.
It's not the flu shot. But man does that sound like an allergic reaction to something (I am, of course, not a doctor). I hope your son feels better soon.
Klaw
Frank
Can we expect this type of performance moving forward from Nicasio
No. It's one start - and he still hasn't shown a third pitch.
Klaw
Eric
I saw that the Blue Jays manager defended himself with "my wife, daughters, etc. didn't have a problem with it". Isn't that the "I have a lot of African-American friends" defense?
Yes, it is. Plenty of people, women and men, did have a problem with it. Regardless of his motivation, he was wrong to say it, and MLB should act on that.
Klaw
Michael
Whenever a friend or family member uses the r word, I generally tell him/her that it's inappropriate. On more than one occasion, they have responded that people like me are indirectly responsible for the rise of Trump and the anti-PC crowd. You commonly correct people on Twitter and in chats. Do you agree with this sentiment? Do you think it's possible you're actually accomplishing the opposite of what you're intending, and creating something far worse?
I believe sunlight is the best disinfectant.
Klaw
Chris P
What is up with Mariners prospects...Alex Jackson going back to extended spring?!?!
Yep. Not a great situation, but it's not like he's performed near expectations yet.
Klaw
addoeh
What would your costume if you won John Oliver's commoner in the premium seats at Yankee Stadium contest?
Foppish dandy: http://www.theonion.com/article/foppish-dandy-di...
Klaw
Jeff
Klaw, how many teams and players have you totally changed your mind on since Opening Day based on their performance? Thanks!
Like, none of them!
Klaw
Michael
It seems like some people were surprised Alford will start in Dunedin. Do you think they should have challenged him at AA or better to take your time with a guy who hasn't played much pro ball?
I think he'll get to AA soon enough, maybe once it warms up ... but didn't they do a bunch of strange things with assignments there? Why was Sean Reid-Foley demoted to low-A?
Klaw
Dan
Hey Keith, nice seeing you during the game last night! What did you thank about Nola? The obvious caveat about a weak lineup applies, but he seemed to locate well and worked efficiently. He was obviously getting tired in his last inning when he fell behind 3-0 to the first two hitters but he came back to strike both of them out. As I Phillies fan, it was a fun game to watch (for the first eight innings).
Looked great. Curveball is definitely better than it was a year ago. Still see a mid-rotation guy long-term, league-average to above league-average, probably someone you hope is your third-best starter when you're contending.
Klaw
Dan
Anfrenee Grier was somewhat heralded in HS as talented but raw. He seems to have improved his draft stock, but still seems quite raw. Does he project as an everyday player given his developmental path to date? Much thanks.
Projects as an above-average regular with unusual upside for a college guy between his tools and his youth (I think he's 20.7 on draft day?).
Klaw
"Lighten Up" Guy
You chat like a girl
Thoughtfully?
Klaw
Michael
Re your comments on Henry Ford, where would you draw the line with historical figures? Do T.S. Eliot, Robert E. Lee, Dr. Seuss, Woodrow Wilson, and Thomas Jefferson, for instance, always need a disclaimer, or can we celebrate them for what they were good at (literary, political, or military genius) and quietly leave the rest alone?
Ford bought a newspaper just so he could spread his hate of Jews, reprinted the Protocols of the Elders of Zion, and accepted an award from the Nazi government. He was beyond the pale.
Klaw
Joe
I know all teams want a piece of opening day, so the schedule makers can't just stick with warm weather cities for the first two weeks. But shouldn't all the games scheduled for cold weather cities at least be in-division games? That way, any weather problems don't force an immediate doubleheader or losing a mutual off day later in the season. Seems like bad scheduling to have New York host Houston instead of Toronto, for example.
Having two dome teams play each other was pretty stupid too.
Klaw
Tom
Heaney just went on the DL with forearm tightness. A couple of years ago, Skaggs went on the DL with forearm tightness. This is an obvious place to jump to conclusions, right?
There is no such thing as good forearm tightness, flexor strain, or biceps tendinitis.
Klaw
BD
I'm not one for Spring Training and 1st week stats either, but when there is a dramatic physical change, I wonder. Does Wilson Ramos getting LASIK mean anything? He looks a lot better (so far)
I believe physical changes like you describe have real, lasting effects that we should be aware of, but that we still need a few weeks of data at the absolute minimum before we can say "yep, he's better."
Klaw
Tom
I'm sort of confused on the whole Joey Bats controversy. People were saying the Utley Rule or something was enforced, but has it ever been legal to slide into second and grab the defender's leg as you go by?
MLB seems to have said the Utley rule covered it, but I agree with you that at least one and probably two rules already on the books made that play illegal. Also, Bautista was out; why the hell should he be allowed to affect anything on the field at that point?
Klaw
John
Genuinely interested, not trolling. Why was it okay for you to poke fun at Ron Paul's/Bobby Valentine's appearance, but I presume you would never do that with women?
Clearly trolling, since I didn't poke fun - I just pointed out a resemblance - and you're basing this stupid question on a stupid presumption of what I would do in a hypothetical situation. Think critically for a second.
Klaw
MJ
Cano is off to a great start, carrying over from his second half and big spring. Have you seen any kind of mechanical adjustment that has led to his hot play since last summer or is he just finally healthy?
I think he's finally healthy. Did he need a mechanical adjustment? I don't know of anything from last year (which could be my own ignorance) that would point to that.
Klaw
Vance
What's your take on that good, uhm, parable in Colorado right now? Has that yarn spinner learned to hit? I know SSS, but it's still interesting.
I said on the BBTN podcast this morning that he is probably just an average regular, but he could easily be better than Reyes, who can't play shortstop any more anyway, so if the hot start means Anecdote keeps the job all year, so much the better for the Rockies.
Klaw
Finch
What would you need to see from Jurickson Profar to consider this season a success?
Just health. I don't doubt he'll hit and, if the arm is indeed fully recovered, field well.
Klaw
Wellington
Are there any HS guys from Northern California, other than Manning that could go within the first 2 days of the draft?
He's the only one on my list right now; among college guys, there's Daulton Jeffries at Cal (missed last start with a calf injury) and Lucas Erceg at Menlo College, an NAIA school. Erceg "left" Cal in the fall - there are various rumors about why, none of which seems very favorable to the player - and is putting up Nintendo numbers at the smaller program.
Klaw
Andrew
What would you do re Rusney Castillo if it were up to you? It seems to me like
Sorry you got cut off, but I think they're doing the right thing with him at the moment.
Klaw
Jack
Which draft prospect's stock has fallen/risen the most since the beginning of the season?
Hard to slip more than Alec Hansen, who was a 1-1 candidate but has been bad and hurt. Rising could be Grier or possibly Joey Wentz, HS lefty near KC (same town as Pint but they don't face each other), gone from just a good arm to clear first-rounder.
Klaw
Vance
In the time since Trout was drafted have teams become better at scouting cold weather city players?
That's unfair to teams scouting that year - it was miserable in the northeast, tons of rain, so he didn't play often and was just harder to see. He also was not an 80 runner in high school.
Klaw
Tim
Have you ever thought about doing a later chat, maybe 8 or 9 PM EST? I can't be the only one secretly doing this at work...
If I'm home at that hour, I'm with my family, and if I'm not home, I'm probably at a game.
Klaw
BD
Maryland starter Mike Sharwyn bumped from Friday to Sunday... why the regression this year, and can he fix it?
Think he's a reliever anyway. Might be better off in that role now.
Klaw
Keith
Re: Thor and his slider - definitely had slider movement around 92-95. Still, I don't remember seeing a starter like Noah pretty much ever - 100ish 4seam, mean 2seam/sinker at 95+, solid change, and good breaking stuff - sky the limit? The only guy who compares in recent memory is Strasburg, but Thor seems to have a better temperament and composure on the mound.
Very different personalities, and Thor does it easier anyway. One of the best examples I can remember of a guy who was nearly all projection in high school and has hit just about every milestone or leaped every developmental hurdle you could think of. Every year, something has gotten better. I also wonder if that gradual improvement is part of why he's stayed healthy, as opposed to the Strasburg or Zumaya types who showed up after one offseason with 10 extra mph.
Klaw
Matt
Scott Schebler a viable platoon OF long term? how would you rate the power/speed tools? 55 each potentially?
Think he's more of a 4A guy.
Klaw
Michael
Rome's rotation by May could be Soroka, Fried, Allard, Touki, and Sanchez........any chance you'll be catching some games down here potentially?? Also got Riley, Acuna and Herbert among the position players
Great team but not likely I'll come there - they'll come up north to Delmarva or Lakewood.
Klaw
Andrew
Just to finish my Castillo thought - is he a 4th/5th OF now? Did the Red Sox just whiff and spend $72 million on a bench player, or is there more there?
There was always some fourth OF risk - great defender but it seemed like no one was sold on the bat, or the power, or both. And at his age, can you hope for more development if he goes to AAA?
Klaw
Terrance
Hey Klaw, I know it's not your fault but ESPN giving Greg Hardy that softball interview with Adam Schefter, and Schefter subsequently going around referring to Hardy as a "changed man" may be my last straw with the Worldwide Leader, as far as giving them my Insider money. I'll still follow your personal website, of course.
I personally do not believe men who beat women can change. And there's some psychological research that says rapists can't change. So I don't know why we did that.
Klaw
Carla
Did the BJ's blow it by trading Thor?
Nice pun. In hindsight, yes, I think so.
Klaw
Brian
You said a few weeks ago that Austin Riley has slider bat speed. What does that mean for him going forward? Does it take away his chance of being an impact guy, or is it still doable with slider bat speed? Thanks.
Slider bat speed means a guy who can't catch up to average or better fastballs without cheating (starting his bat early). It's not a good thing. I had heard that on Riley last year, and it's what I saw in March. Let's see how it plays out as he's facing some better velocity in low-A this year.
Klaw
Joe
When will you be updating the draft rankings? Thanks
Next week. Eric and I have been working on them the last few days.
Klaw
Bill
Aaron Sanchez looked awesome in his first start of the year. Got several whiffs (on some change-ups, too!). Have you had a chance to watch any of his start? No walks...reasons to be encouraged?
Again, just one outing. Strikes are good, though.
Klaw
Grant from Chicago
I noticed Cease, de la Cruz, Wilson and Hudson are still in XST. Thoughts on why they haven't been assigned to South Bend?
Why would they be? Cease isn't even two years back from TJ and barely pitched last year. Hudson might stay in short-season all year. Wilson could too.
Klaw
Mike
Last week you talked about how the college game can be very boring as the coaches micromanage. How does that affect how you scout the players? Is it difficult when players are constantly told to sac bunt or take pitches?
Well it's really hard to scout a hitter when the idiot coach bats him third and has him bunt in the first inning.
Klaw
Jay
In the past you've talked about Dom Smith's 70 throwing arm at 1B. Could you talk about the value of, say, an 80 arm at 1B versus a 50 arm there, over the course of a season? Never know how to weigh that. Thanks!
It's a small benefit but plays like the 3-6-3 or 3-6-1 double play become easier, or even the 3-5 play too. I'd say I never need my first baseman to have a plus arm, but it's nice if he does.
Klaw
Joe
If the Nats are thinking about Giolito as a second half asset would it make more sense to start him in AAA or does it not really matter?
Don't think it matters.
Klaw