Klawchat 8/11/16
It's a helping hand that makes you feel wonderfully bland. Klawchat.
Mike
Keith, do you feel like the Yankees would be best served by calling up BOTH Judge and Austin and giving them significant ABs?
I do, in Austin's case to see what they've got since he's repeating AAA, in Judge's case because I think he's going to need some time in the majors to work on keeping the swing and miss to a manageable level.
Klaw
Mike
Tim Tebow? Really? Any chance in hell that any MLB general manager gives him the time of day?
This was an absolute non-story and I want no part of it.
Klaw
Bindu
Do you think Brandon Woodruff can be a quality MLB starter?
Sure. Less sure of precisely what quality, but I do think he's a future MLB starter.
Klaw
Jim - Chicago
Alec Hansen has been great so far. Have you heard anything about what the White Sox have done that Oklahoma could never figure out? I know it's a small sample but his walks are way down.
He's also facing some pretty weak competition up there. I'm thrilled to see what he's doing - I thought he was a potential 1-1 pick coming out of the fall - but tempering my enthusiasm until we see him in a full-season league.
Klaw
Justin
If you had an AL Cy Young vote, would JA Happ be your choice at the moment?
He wouldn't be on my ballot at all.
Klaw
Scott
Can we go back to Monday for a second? You tweeted that Al Trautwig was wrong for stating that Simone Biles's adoptive parents were not really her parents. It's a fact that Biles was adopted by her grandparents; she considers them her parents and calls them Mom and Dad. Yet objectively, Trautwig was correct. He stated a biological truth. (You typically stand on the side of science.) Why do you believe Trautwig did something wrong?
Because he absolutely did something wrong. This is like confusing sex and gender. And it was not his place to say that the people Biles and the law regard as her parents are not her parents. I am related by marriage to someone who was adopted at birth. He does not know and has never known any parents but the ones who raised him. Are you going to tell him that those are not his parents? Furthermore, I thought Trautwig's comments were indirectly racist, given the higher percentage of African-American kids raised in non-traditional households. He was way out of his lane, and doubling down on Twitter like he did was unacceptable.
Klaw
John
What's the best option for an undrafted player still trying to make it in baseball?
Indy ball or, if possible, an open tryout with an actual MLB scout (not a part-timer or 'associate' who may not have any power to sign a player).
Klaw
andy
Thoughts on Yankees' handling of A-Rod farewell tour and Girardi's comments on "winning"?
Embarrassing for Girardi in particular, since he had no problem playing the corpse of Jeter in all of the Cap'n's final season and batting him second.
Klaw
Marshall
what are your thoughts on Dustin Peterson? Is he an everyday ML outfielder or a good 4th?
Chance for an everyday corner OF because he can hit. Limited upside unless there's power in there I don't foresee.
Klaw
Theo
Is Hendricks really a #1? What did you miss on him? He's the only Cubs prospect you said wouldn't be great who has been awesome. 19/20 ain't bad.
Hendricks isn't close to a 1 - he's been extraordinarily lucky/helped by his defense this year. But he also became a much better groundball guy with the Cubs too, which is where I was too light on him.
Klaw
Fred
Seems like the 2017 draft class is loaded with arms. What college or HS bats do you see that could be in the 1-1 conversation?
I think the best prospects in the class are Vandy OF Jeren Kendall and SoCal two-way HS guy Hunter Greene, better on the mound but also a prospect as a SS.
Klaw
Jack Conness
Hey Keith, I am going to do my first freelance scouting trip next Monday to a Cedar Rapids Kernels vs. Peoria Chiefs game. Any tips for a first timer? Where to sit? What to analyze? How difficult is it to scout defense? I plan on bringing out the iPad and recording the guys I plan on scouting too. I've done all the reading and research available on the world wide web, but would love a helpful hit or two from someone with your pedigree. Thank you very much.
You should just watch the game. So much of evaluating players via observation is about comparing them to players you've seen before over years of doing it. So this time, just focus on what you see, rather than trying to convert those into fast opinions on players. Also, I hate seeing iPads used as cameras, FWIW. There's no way you're filming anything without blocking someone's view.
Klaw
Chris
Was the Herrera/Wotell return for Bruce a little light?
No, I thought it was great for the Reds.
Klaw
Paul
I know you've been a big fan of Coppy and the Atlanta rebuild, but is there any justification for the Kemp trade? Locking him into LF for three years seems like the last thing a young team needs.
If he's terrible, they can just release him. I don't think there's much there, although there's at least some reason to hope he'll play a little better in a new environment, and there's so little power on the market I guess I could talk myself into seeing him as having a little value ... eh, whatever, he's still pretty awful, but better him than Olivera.
Klaw
ken
Klaw, please help me understand what the Rays are doing. I can’t seem to understand their moves the past couple of years. It looks like one bad move after another. They say they are building young talent, are making bad trades / not developing correctly? Thx
"Bad" move is a little strong here, but I do think they've allowed their analytical side to weigh in too heavily on certain moves, like taking Souza rather than holding on to Turner/Ross. I liked the return for Moore on its face, but I don't know what his actual market value was - could they have gotten more for him, rather than taking a package of players they had previously liked, even though that return is sufficient for what they gave up?
Klaw
Reeve
Heard any updates on the Twins GM search?
That's not going to go anywhere till September. Anything you hear before then - oh, this guy's high on their list - is BS.
Klaw
Max Kellerman
I'm a huge fantasy nerd and am looking to make a couple pickups... I seem to be higher on these five guys than most publications: SP Reid-Foley (TOR), 3B Andujar (NYY), SP Weaver (STL), SP Paddock (SD), 1B Tellez (TOR)... Are you a believer in these guys? Your light being shed would be much appreciated. Thank you.
I like Paddack but he's out with TJ. Reid-Foley is a starter, maybe like a 4th starter in the end. Andujar's interesting but I don't think he ends up starting for the Yanks. Weaver still doesn't have an average breaking ball and Tellez is a DH who can't hit good velocity.
Klaw
Darren
Hi Keith, I'm curious if you grill vegetables, do you prefer to put them in aluminum foil to grill and steam or just put them directly on the grill? What is your favorite seasoning for veggies besides salt and pepper? basil? rosemary? a curry mix?
Right on the grill, just rub with oil and season with salt and pepper. If the vegetables are good quality they don't need much seasoning afterwards.
Klaw
Jeff G.
As the father of 13 year old pitcher, I am very interested to see what your opinion is on the following question. What is the number one red flag for you when scouting high school pitchers? I would assume some something to do with mechanics, but I could be wrong.
Bad mechanics, yes, especially for guys who are throwing hard and appear to be expending max effort on their fastballs. That seems to be the worst combination of variables for predicting future injury. If your hat is falling off on every pitch, then you have a problem.
Klaw
Ya'akov
Curious if you think SF's Shaw has enough hit tool to be an everyday 1b? Thank you for all the content you create, your work on espn.com is what I miss most since cancelling my insider subscription.
I don't. I think he's power over hit and a mediocre enough defender that he may max out as a 4A guy. Even with that special Giants woo.
Klaw
Greg P
KLaw - Texas' Eric Jenkins didn't make your pre-season Top 10 for the Rangers, but he's pretty young. Is there anything here that makes you think he's anything more than a pinch-runner?
That's a little harsh but I don't think there's going to be enough hit tool there for him to be a regular.
Klaw
Kevin w
Ever been to Jamaica?
Never been to Jamaica or played the boardgame but I have enjoyed plenty of Appleton rum.
Klaw
Casey
I know you weren't high on Harrison Bader when the Cardinals drafted him but he is now up to AAA with success at each level. Do you see him as an average regular or more of at 4th outfielder?
Might be an average regular if he's really got a plus hit tool; he's had a great pro career so far but he doesn't have power (or project to have it) or walk that much. I'm still inclined to think he's an extra guy, but that doesn't fairly credit him with how well he's hit so far even with aggressive (and prescient) assignments.
Klaw
Kevin w
Best player not in the hall but should be (the steroids guys do not count)?
Tim Raines' absence is a joke. Top 100 player of all time.
Klaw
Andy
Madison Bumgarner is widely recognized as one of the best hitting pitchers. He's 180/271/328 this season, which is better than his career norms. Prince Fielder, having neck pain and widely being seen as one of the worst hitters in the majors this season, hit 212/294/334. Tell me again why anyone likes seeing pitchers "hit"?
The worst part of the Bumgarner mythology is that the Giants are now using him as a pinch hitter when he's worse than pretty much anyone they could pull off their bench or out of their AAA lineup. Having Bumgarner, a good hitter FOR A PITCHER, is not a substitute for carrying another capable bat on your bench.
Klaw
Joe
How do you project Rhys Hoskins versus Dylan Cozens moving forward? Hoskins' splits are exponentially better, so do you see him having a major league career?
I also think Hoskins has a better swing, and I've said before I was not a fan of Cozens' character when he was in the draft, so I would rank Hoskins higher ... unless you were asking me just about power. I think Cozens has far more raw power than Hoskins does.
Klaw
Terrence
How much power does Ronald Guzmán have in him? Seems like a 20 HR guy to me, but I'm only scouting the stat line.
Potential would be more like 25-30 IMO.
Klaw
Adam
How do you evaluate a player's initial return from Tommy John Surgery? Cal Quantrill and Brady Aiken had theirs at essentially the same time but Quantrill's stuff seems to be coming back much quicker.
I don't. Anything that first year back is a bonus. And a lot of guys don't get all their velocity or command back right away, so panicking out of the gate would sell them short.
Klaw
Zach
Between Steven Brault, Chad Kuhl, and Trevor Williams, which one of them has the best chance of making it as a starter and why?
I'll answer with this: if he doesn't find a pitch to get LHB out I don't see how Kuhl can be a starter.
Klaw
Greg
Hi Keith, I have twins turning 5 today, and I was wondering if you have some suggestions for children's books that start to read like adult books. What age should we start to give them advanced reading and what are some of the better choices to give a child this young that can already read well enough to be challenged. Thanks.
Happy birthday to your kids! At that age, my daughter was reading chapter books aimed at early readers, a lot of which were ... well, garbage. The two Winnie-the-Pooh books might be appropriate. She'd also reread stuff I'd read with her; Berkeley Breathed's Mars Needs Moms was a big favorite.
Klaw
Eric D.
Keith, your thoughts on Benintendi's promotion and results thus far? Can he develop 25 hr power?
I think he has 25 HR power, yes. I wouldn't be surprised if he did that next year, given 150 starts.
Klaw
Tim
Was TJ Friedl on your radar at all this year? Does he have MLB potential or is he a bit too small to project in the major leagues?
No, he wasn't even a top 5 rounds candidate in the spring; he had no prior track record and Nevada-Reno's ballpark is about 4000 feet above sea level. He had his coming-out party with Team USA, using the wood bat, showing some speed, and because he was a free agent he ended up getting something like third-round money, which is probably about right. I don't think he's too small; I think he's about the right risk/reward profile for a third rounder, which is to say if I could redo my draft top 100 now he might just sneak on to the back end of it.
Klaw
Karl
Willy Adames is having a very solid season at AA as a 20 year old. Do you think he's a top 20 prospect?
I do not.
Klaw
Aaron
What do you make of the Tommy La Stella ordeal. As a Cubs fan, it does seem to me like he has reason to be mad. However, he had options and Chris Coughlan didnt. At the end of the day its a business and this seems like a very bad business decision for La Stella and puts the Cubs in an awkward spot welcoming him back.
I really have no idea. It's not really a baseball topic.
Klaw
All of NY
What is Terry Collins doing and why
The wrong thing, because reasons.
Klaw
Dave
Will Matt Thaiss get a chance to play catcher or is he strictly a 1b-only guy?
Not a catcher.
Klaw
Nick
Please tell me Collins hasn't already ruined Conforto...
Ruined is awfully strong. Ruined his season, perhaps, but not his career.
Klaw
Bobby
Noticed that you've previously referred to a player as "just a guy" and "GUY." What's the difference? This question is really difficult to Google. Thanks for all of your work!
If you say them out loud it makes a little more sense. He's just a guy (sad trombone) vs he's a *GUY* (bold italics underline).
Klaw
zak
I know you always been a huge Giolito fan but would you still say he is the best pitcher in the minors despite his struggles as of late?
I would still say he is the best pitching prospect in the minors. You're being far too recentist, in addition to overweighting the stat line.
Klaw
Jameson Taillon
Can I be better than Gerrit Cole? My combined minor league and MLB line this year is 104 Ks vs 12 BBs....
Better than Peak Cole is awfully good. But I think you can be a top 15-20 pitcher in the NL.
Klaw
Michael Conforto
What did I do to deserve this?!?
I don't know how you're gonna get through.
Klaw
Buck
Should Britton get Cy Young votes?
No. It's stupid season, where people forget that a closer who might not see 70 innings can't be as good or valuable as even the tenth-best starter in the league who throws 160-plus.
Klaw
Pramit
SSS and recency bias aside, have you seen anything from Devon Travis that would indicate he'll be a better player than what you initially projected?
Swing is improved and he's got really good hand-eye coordination.
Klaw
Mark
Ridiculous sample size aside. The ball seems to bounce off gary sanchezs bat, was his defense behind the plate the only reason he wasn't a more highly touted prospect?
Defense (receiving specifically) and concerns about his work ethic. The latter seems to be over now.
Klaw
Ryan
In a previous chat you mentioned that if Travis Demeritte were to drastically reduce his K rate, he could be an impact player in the majors. How likely is this, and do any other players come to mind that accomplished that?
It's not THAT likely but he's athletic with great bat speed and doesn't have a ton of reps in the minors to date, so it's a better chance there than with, say, a slow 1b-only type who swings and misses too much.
Klaw
Tim
Keith - I enjoyed your review of Anomalisa, I only wish I had enjoyed the movie half as much. Without firsthand knowledge of depression, it was hard not to see that character as solipsistic and kind of a bully given the power dynamic between he and everyone else in the film, which he seemingly exploits at every turn. I guess my questions are two: 1) does the film have an obligation to be explicit about his depression (giving your interpretation the benefit of the doubt); and 2) does the character have an obligation to be a decent human despite his malady?
I think that's part of the point. People with depression, anxiety, or other mental illnesses can be very difficult to be around, to work with, to be married to, etc., because of the way those conditions alter your behavior - which is yet another reason to seek treatment, or to get your loved one to seek treatment, whether that's individual or family therapy, medication, or more.
Klaw
Jim
Hi Keith, anything new on Kapreilian? Surgery or no surgery?
Good luck getting an answer on an injured Yankees prospect. Russian hackers couldn't even get you that info.
Klaw
Mark
Apologies in advance if you answered this and I did not see it but I wanted to get your thoughts on the Jays 6-man rotation re: Aaron Sanchez. Do you agree with this approach? Why or why not?
I like that better than simply shutting him down or sending him to a bullpen role that probably doesn't do anything to reduce the odds of him getting hurt. The idea is to never have him throw a pitch while fatigued, knowing that at this point in the year, fatigue is probably inevitable at some point. A 6-man rotation reduces those odds while still serving the greater goal of winning the division.
Klaw
Jason
Question about who has to pass through waivers to be traded now (since you didn't chat last week). Let's say the Braves claimed Chris Sale and agreed to trade the Shelby Miller package (please ignore the merits; I doubt that would be enough) - Inciarte (in the majors), Blair (in the minors but on the 40-man roster), and Swanson (not on the 40-man roster). I know Inciarte would have to pass through waivers and I believe Swanson would not. What about Blair?
Blair's on the 40-man roster so I'm about 99% certain he would.
Klaw
Wade
Will you alter your scouting plans because of Zika?
It hasn't come up. I'm not having any more kids so it's not a huge concern for me. If I were 28, that'd be a different story.
Klaw