Klawchat returns! Please excuse any technical problems as it's the first time we're using this software for a formal chat.

The question is, what kind of chat is it? It's Klawchat.

10/09/2015 20:00
998ff61be662fd0bf8c93b5e14c358bd normal

keithlaw

D54b3c8fcd5ba07e47b400e69a287966?d=identicon

Jim

Thoughts on Anderson Espinoza and Francis Martes? I've been hearing a lot of high projections of them lately.

I think I know more about Espinoza now - a non-Boston exec told me "he might be Pedro" than Martes, but both are pretty clearly top 100, probably top 50 prospects

10/09/2015 20:01
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

0d2366f384b6c702db8e9dd8b74534db?d=identicon

Andy

How bad do you feel for Eddie Collins? Congrats you have the third best age 22 season of all time. And it's the second best in the league in 1909, which means you'll be forgotten by history.

I already forgot about him.

10/09/2015 20:02
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

276835ac180b052212b0b8a699fc33dd?d=identicon

Mark Attanasio

Who should be my top 3-5 candidates to be our new GM?

It's a lengthy list, but they have an ideal candidate right there in Ray Montgomery. I did see the Rockies' Danny Montgomery (no relation) come up in a list of top candidates of color, and I'd love to see him get some more attention; sometimes the best guys don't get the most press.

10/09/2015 20:02
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

9ec75097ce44559e94e404d6a2d395ab?d=identicon

Phil

Hi Keith,
If the Phillies offered, would you take the GM job? -Thanks!

I can't even fathom that happening. I've been out of a front office for nine years! But I think it's a very appealing job and can't imagine any serious candidate turning it down.

10/09/2015 20:03
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

0d2366f384b6c702db8e9dd8b74534db?d=identicon

Andy

Would Yoenis Cespedes for NL MVP, with a pretty good two months of work, be the worst MVP vote of all time?

Yep. This absolutely reeks of a few writers violating the cardinal rule of journalism: Do not make the news, just cover it.

10/09/2015 20:04
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

4d236810821e8e83a025f2a83ea31820?d=identicon

Brian

Once Jackie Bradley Jr cools off, what would you expect is normal level to be? Can he be 75 or 80% of what he's doing now?

I buy the average/contact more than the power.

10/09/2015 20:04
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Dce0d99515076c6a24e246952d635fc7?d=identicon

Kelly

Severino has been great. I know that you loved his stuff, but questioned his durability. Specifically, what are your concerns? Do you think he will struggle to stay healthy for an entire season? Do you think he won't be able to consistently pitch deep into games? Both?

More long-term than individual games. It puts so much stress on your arm - shoulder, elbow, everything - to pitch like that, without generating velocity from your legs. Mind you I'm not rooting against the kid in the least; my job is to give opinions, and guys who pitch like he does, as does Reynaldo Lopez, are generally not able to last as starters.

10/09/2015 20:05
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

51d0ffa5b7e48737f577546719503392?d=identicon

Joseph K

What percentage of responsibility for the Nats 2015 debacle would you assign to the manager?

30%?

10/09/2015 20:05
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

3a368818b7341d48660e8dd6c5a77dbe?d=identicon

Joe

Any developmental reason why the Nats wouldn't have put Giolito on their September roster? Innings limit, fatigue, etc? Seems as if all they needed was 5 good innings from him this month to make up for the disastrous Bridge to Nowhere.

I know of no fatigue reason, and he was held back in April (as was Lopez) to give him some flexibility for this point in the calendar. I don't get what they did at all - their gravest need was middle relief, and they had a bunch of candidates sitting right there in their own system to fill that spot!

10/09/2015 20:06
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

2fc1c0beb992cd7096975cfebf9d5c3b?d=identicon

Bob

I saw a piece recently discussing the advancement of Aaron Nola's curveball, does this raise his ceiling at all... or just help him reach it?

Got a great report on that from the other night, too ... if that's the swing and miss pitch he's been lacking, then it would raise his ceiling. As a general rule, curveballs don't have the same potential for improvement as sliders; you might improve your command of a curveball, but its shape is determined so much by your hand and wrist that it's hard for it to get materially better.

10/09/2015 20:07
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

48bc893fcbc0a33ed3ad2cf2d5d57cfe?d=identicon

Jon

I must admit, I wasn't in love with trading Fulmer for 2-months of Cespedes. Still, I was excited to get a power bat in the middle of the line-up. It's also been pleasantly surprising that a lot of things have gone right of the Mets: d'Arnaud is healthy and mashing, Wright is healthy and hitting, Johnson and Uribe proved to be good pick ups, and Clippard has been effective. This has culminated in a strong run by the Mets. So, what I'm getting at is: At what point do you say, it's worth it to give up a talent like Fulmer for a short-term rental (even if Cespedes is re-signed, he was a rental)? Just getting to the playoffs? Does winning the World Series trump everything and make Fulmer an afterthought? One World Series victory has to be greater than 6 years of control of a mid-rotation starter. But is there a gray area? It's a strange predicament.

I agree with everything you said - there is a point where you say, screw it, it was worth the cost. I would have bought into this more if the Mets were at the end of a run, if this were the last gasp of a dying contender, rather than an early arrival by a team that looked (really still does look) primed for 4-5 years of strong contention. Their starting pitching depth just took a hit, and you can just ask the Nationals if you can ever have enough starting pitching.

10/09/2015 20:09
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E8b579fe36f15209c6f167396a46b04e?d=identicon

Kyle

Lewis Brinson stayed healthy this year and impressed me when I saw him in Frisco. Can he be the 5-tool unicorn, or will he not hit for average?

I think given enough time - he may struggle with contact at first - he's a five-tool player. I have always liked him over Nick Williams even when the latter performed better.

10/09/2015 20:10
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

3ecde52d76b8ff281eb735d736f34f3b?d=identicon

Dale

What are your thoughts on Domingo Acevedo of the Yankees system?

I've heard a few times that he's been up to 99 and sitting a lot of mid-90s as a starter, but I'd like to see the delivery in person.

10/09/2015 20:11
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

F1f640976fa3324e83bf3370db8d3c26?d=identicon

hyshai

Do you think Eovaldi's new splitter could have caused the elbow issue? Is the split a pitch which is hard on the elbow (Tanaka)?

Some pitching coaches/execs think it is. I also think it's not a coincidence that he hit 101 or 102 the start before his elbow screamed.

10/09/2015 20:11
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

C61db0cdc60db4445d07ee5ae79941a2?d=identicon

Zach

A.J. Reed missed the top 50 prospect list, but where would he rank now that he's performing at double-A?

Top 50 for sure. Might have raised his stock more than any hitting prospect in baseball - him or Wilson Contreras with the Cubs.

10/09/2015 20:11
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E1271e594ea53336c212f2febc2ccdd6?d=identicon

Josh

Do you really think Buck Showalter should be fired for the Orioles collapse? You had a tweet that alluded to that potentially.

That's too strong an interpretation. I'm surprised at the lack of ire directed at him, and how much blame seems to be directed at Dan Duquette. Is it a question of personalities? Buck plays well with the media, and Duquette might be the worst of the 30 GMs at dealing with the press.

10/09/2015 20:12
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

84814b43bd0271bd407e14ca38654207?d=identicon

Rich

Sano's K rate realistically puts him at about a .270ish hitter long term, yes?

Or he drops the K rate. But yes, your point is valid.

10/09/2015 20:13
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

24d22e03afb23edb45c6c8cfa16a280e?d=identicon

JP

On Moncada: Said one scout: “He’s the closest thing to [Mike] Trout I’ve seen.”

Crazy talk

Crazy talk. But he's a legit star-caliber prospect. Trout was just otherworldly.

10/09/2015 20:13
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E1271e594ea53336c212f2febc2ccdd6?d=identicon

Josh

Do the Giants have any arms in the minors that might make a meaningful contribution to the rotation next year? Or will they need to rebuild the rotation via trades and/or FA?

Trades/FA. Some back-end types in the system, but nothing more, even given their #GiantsDevilMagic history.

10/09/2015 20:14
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

4d0fef3280b8c1356077de7363a8b893?d=identicon

Jay

I know you dabble in progressive metal. Thoughts on Between the Buried and Me's new(ish) album?

Strong. Maybe a little too prog-rockish for me, but overall very tight and clever.

10/09/2015 20:14
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

F87567f2159b425795ebb7ba9bc406ec?d=identicon

Patrick

Does Didi still have room to grow or is he about maxed out potential right now? Is he currently a top 10 SS in the game?

I think this is about his offensive potential barring a swing change - he loads deep and I think tries to hit for more power than his body will permit. He's an elite defender though.

10/09/2015 20:15
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

7f15f1ad99c489dc0314952535e424d5?d=identicon

Jeff

The Astros have graduated a few of their top prospects, but given the draft haul and pop up guys, how many top 100 players would you estimate them having in your top 100? Bregman, Tucker, Cameron, Martes, Reed must all be top 100 guys, right?

Not sure about Cameron; his fame outstrips his reasonable potential, as his scouting report is all 50s and 60s, not 70s and 80s. The others are. Appel (still just 23, inconsistent, but with premium stuff and control) and Feliz are also probably top 100 guys.

10/09/2015 20:17
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Fd144f65f19df1c7adaa116c44ce2617?d=identicon

Nick

What is a reasonable expectation for Trayce Thompson? Is there a chance he breaks out?

Given his plate discipline in the minors and very long swing, I think these 50 major league at bats are giving people false hope. He's a 70 defender in center with probably 20-25 homer power but I don't think he'll hit enough to get to that power upside.

10/09/2015 20:18
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Default profile 2 normal

trike mout

Did you ever have any formal culinary training, or just all self-taught? Any resources you recommend?

All self-taught, unless you count watching every single episode of Good Eats as formal training. I keep emailing Alton to ask for a diploma but he only sends back videos of farting sock puppets.

10/09/2015 20:19
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

A1361cb85be840d6a2d762c68e4910e2?d=identicon

jesse

Should I be at all worried about Aaron Judge's high strikeout numbers in AAA? Just seems like he always whiffs on off-speed stuff

I think he'll always be a high-strikeout guy, 150 or so a year. It's a huge strike zone to ask anyone to cover. He's also made a ton of adjustments already and I think the current problem he has, covering soft away, is something he can address with more repetitions/exposure.

10/09/2015 20:20
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E8a23d55b01adf3cdf7594b65c5e2e55?d=identicon

Chris, Larchmont

Who is most at fault in this Matt Harvey situation? I begrudgingly have to say Sandy shouldve knows this was coming!

Here's who I think is least at fault: Matt Harvey. He has the most to lose from misuse or overuse and had nothing to gain by this becoming public.

10/09/2015 20:21
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

D52e32f3a96a64786814ae9b5279fbe5?d=identicon

James

Harper should be unanimous, But who's second for MVP in NL? I might go Arrenado, you?

Goldschmidt, probably.

10/09/2015 20:21
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

C1f80eddea77f14650a2062dda3eb15c?d=identicon

Jonathan

Thank you Klaw! Your chats are a big reason I pay (paid?) for Insider. I really appreciate you finding another venue.

You're welcome. Readers have asked about helping defray the cost for the software. As far as I'm concerned, if you all keep reading them over here, it's money well spent.

10/09/2015 20:21
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

06475174d922e7dcbb3ed34c0236dbdf?d=identicon

Justin

Any chance we see Baez make a big jump next year? K% seemed to be down a bit, but it's still absurd.

Killing the leg kick should help, but there's a big mental adjustment to be made too and I don't see evidence that's happened yet.

10/09/2015 20:22
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

81b8a1b77068d06e1c8190825253066f?d=identicon

Steve

What happened to the periscope chats? Loved that format. Much more interactive

Nothing - I did one yesterday.

10/09/2015 20:22
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

06475174d922e7dcbb3ed34c0236dbdf?d=identicon

Justin

Hi Keith, what site do you host this blog on? Super cool that you've got the chat going on over here.

The software is from Dilmot, and the chat appears on their site too, I believe.

10/09/2015 20:22
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Fc137b91cb8e1e13a1f7227aa5a22063?d=identicon

JR

Glad to have klaw chat back. We need a location option though - I've been hoping to use "Straight Outta Klawmpton" as a location for over a month now.

Well I can at least take the question so you can get your pun in.

10/09/2015 20:23
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

F86b55f9d89a293c40164021442ca569?d=identicon

Ciscoskid

I find it sad that there are writers advocating that Harper shouldnt be punished for the Nationals collapse in the MVP race, which I agree with. These are also the same writers who said the Triple Crown, and that Miggy was on a playoff team made him a more viable candidate that Trout. Just sad.

There is always a strong anti-intellectual streak in these arguments. Writers who long held the exclusive right to tell you what players were good have lost that podium with the explosion of statistics and of independent writers who have greater insight on the question, so their way to rage against the dying of the light is to deny the facts.

10/09/2015 20:24
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Dc2054afd537ddc98afd9347136494ac?d=identicon

Tim

If the Phil's were going to fire RA, why not do it before he is makes a trade that is going to shape the future of the franchise for the next 5 years?

I thought he did a really nice job with the rebuild, actually. Not enough to keep him - that whole department needs new blood, and people didn't like working for Amaro anyway - but I don't want that to be forgotten as we shovel dirt on the grave of his tenure.

10/09/2015 20:25
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

67524210524b62ad06b8fc7c6dc7135e?d=identicon

Louis

Will Cory Seager play a pivotal role in the playoffs for the Dodgers this year? Can he stick at SS?

This year he's probably a bench bat or not on the playoff roster. Long term he doesn't have the range he'll need for shortstop.

10/09/2015 20:25
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Ac7938dc5e794f913ec83092efe83177?d=identicon

AJ

Clayton Blackburn finished the season strong in the PCL. Is he a fringe prospect or more? What's his projection?

It's fringe stuff with major-league command. I think he can be a big-league starter, probably a fourth or fifth guy, just without upside because he's not going to miss a ton of bats. He's better than Eric Surkamp.

10/09/2015 20:26
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

944facfeb153b4f01916a0f166fcc315?d=identicon

Chris

Between Gselman, Ynoa and Pill among others, are any of the Mets minor league arms close to filling the void created by fulmer and meisner departures, or are those guys more back end types?

Back end types. Nice to have, but if the Mets have a bad rash of injuries to their major-league rotation - again, not rooting for that in the least - they are going to sorely miss what they just dealt.

10/09/2015 20:26
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

67524210524b62ad06b8fc7c6dc7135e?d=identicon

Louis

Whats Blake Rutherfords ceiling? is he in line for 1-1 this draft?

I don't think anyone is in line for 1-1 right now. He's one of a half-dozen likely lads for that spot - Corey Ray, Alec Hansen, Jason Groome, maybe AJ Puk. Someone brought up Avery Tuck for that the other day - I think he's too raw right now, but if he blows up in the spring don't say I didn't warn you.

10/09/2015 20:28
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

83930fd731a92d37c5dbb39a9c5e6183?d=identicon

Doug

Hello Keith! Is Max Kepler's breakout year this season legit? When should we expect him full time with the Twins. Also heard some questions about his defense in the outfield prior to this year, has he improved in that aspect? Thanks!

Totally legit. I think the biggest thing is that he got healthy, and now he's moving so well he might even be able to handle center, not that the Twins need that.

10/09/2015 20:29
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Dc2054afd537ddc98afd9347136494ac?d=identicon

Tim

How good do you think Christian arroyo is going to be and where does he play considering the one thing the Giants are not lacking is young middle infielders?

Has to play second - can't play short. Legit shot at a 70 hit tool, so a frequent .300+ hitter in the majors.

10/09/2015 20:29
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

464e07afc9e46359fb480839150595c5?d=identicon

David

Who has the higher ceiling -- JBJ or Mookie?

Mookie.

10/09/2015 20:29
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

4d0fef3280b8c1356077de7363a8b893?d=identicon

Jay

Keith, your thoughts on Stephen Piscotty long term - can he maintain contact rate and add power as he matures?

There's 20-25 homer power in there, but I think Stanford worked so hard to force him and all thier other guys to go the other way that he's still not totally comfortable dropping the bat head and pulling the ball.

10/09/2015 20:30
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

10e262fa7cf5c8aad9b710edfd05a4d5?d=identicon

Greyson

How much seasoning does Fulmer need before he's ready to start in Detroit next season? The tigers seem to have two holes in next year's rotation (Verlander, Norris, Sanchez, ?, ?) and it sure would be nice if he could fill one...

I bet he makes 20+ starts for them next year, if healthy, which he wasn't in 2014.

10/09/2015 20:31
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

1f21606af996c5154e5e88760f82592f?d=identicon

Cw

After yourself... What are some names MacPhail should look deeper into to fill the GM role?

I mentioned Ray Montgomery above. Ben Cherington would be an outstanding fit. John Coppolella has to be on everyone's list at this point given what he's managed to do with Atlanta. Jason McLeod should too - if the Brewers decide to go outside, he should be on their short list as he's also a minority candidate. Mike Elias is getting a lot of buzz within the industry because he's been so successful in Houston and his staff speaks very highly of him.

10/09/2015 20:33
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Picture

Paul Furlong

Carl Edwards (Formally CJ) Is he a closer? MR? Would you put him in high stress situations now?

He's a reliever, not sure if that's the seventh inning or the ninth. Just don't think he can start.

10/09/2015 20:34
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

Dd2929e27dfbb46a7fcf93569cbad25f?d=identicon

Ananth

Is this a realistic path to contention for the M's in the next 2 years. Management refusing to rebuild has to scare of a lot of candidates right?

I think you can patch that major-league roster in a weak division, but whoever comes in has to fix what might be the majors' worst farm system. Their drafts haven't been productive, their international efforts haven't been much better, and the handful of decent prospects who've come into the system have regressed.

10/09/2015 20:35
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

3a368818b7341d48660e8dd6c5a77dbe?d=identicon

Joe

What is the rule about eligibility for the postseason? Wouldn't Stroman have had to been made active before September to be eligible?

No, just had to be in the organization on 8/31.

10/09/2015 20:35
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

F88fcaa4fe9bfee54c61c3fdfd555489 normal

USMNT'S BRAK SHEA

Guess this answers my question from the other day on whether Klawchat would continue now that ESPN is killing their chats (and I presume you are pleased to be free of their chat software/interface?)

This seems less buggy, at least. But ESPN's was free and this will be a tiny bit more work for me. Reader Patrick threw together a Python script I can use to try to turn this into a straight HTML transcript when we're done.

10/09/2015 20:36
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw

E7a3c8c90a380589ddad950c0c74f989?d=identicon

Brad

I know you get tons of questions each chat, do you have any issue with submitting a question 2-3 times? Or should we take you not responding after the first ask as an indication that you don't find it to be an interesting question/answer?

Just don't go too crazy. Two or three times is fine. Ten is annoying. I'm getting a ton here which is fantastic but of course i can't get to all of them.

10/09/2015 20:36
Missing avatar thumb

Klaw